House of Councilors election Liberal Democratic Party / Komeito ruling party It is certain to win 69 seats before the election

In this House of Councilors election, it is certain that both the LDP and Komeito will win 69 pre-election seats, surpassing 63 seats, which is the majority of the re-election seats.

It is also certain that the four parties, the Liberal Democratic Party, the Nippon Ishin no Kai, and the Democratic Party for the People, who are willing to amend the Constitution, will have more than 82 seats, which secures two-thirds of the total House of Councilors required to propose the amendment.

Meanwhile, the Constitutional Democratic Party is expected to reduce its seats even before the election.

The counting of votes for the Upper House election is proceeding smoothly.

So far, the seats won by each party, including the constituencies and proportional representatives, are ▼ 57 seats for the LDP, 12 seats for the Constitutional Democratic Party, 10 seats for the Komei Party, 10 seats for the Japan Restoration Society, and ▼ the National Democratic Party. There are 2 seats, ▼ Communist Party has 3 seats, ▼ Reiwa Shinsengumi has 1 seat, ▼ Social Democratic Party has 0 seats, ▼ NHK Party has 0 seats, ▼ Participating Party has 1 seat, and ▼ Unaffiliated has 4 seats.

As a result of NHK's analysis of the situation based on the ballot counting situation, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Liberal Democratic Party are expected to acquire 83 seats from 70 seats in total, exceeding 63 seats, which is the majority of the re-election seats, before the election. It is certain that it will exceed 69 seats.

Of these, the Liberal Democratic Party is expected to acquire 69 seats from 60 seats, and it is possible that it will reach 63 seats, which is the majority of the re-elected seats alone.

▼ The Constitutional Democratic Party is expected to have 13 to 19 seats, and it is certain that the number of seats will be reduced even before the election.

▼ Komeito is expected to win 14 to 14 seats.

▼ The Nippon Ishin no Kai is expected to win 10 to 15 seats, which may double from before the election.

▼ The Democratic Party for the People's Democratic Party is expected to have 2 to 5 seats, and it is certain that it will be lower than before the election.

▼ The Communist Party is expected to win 6 to 6 seats.

▼ Reiwa Shinsengumi is expected to win 1 to 3 seats.

▼ The Social Democratic Party may win one seat.

▼ The NHK Party may win one seat.

▼ In addition, independent candidates and other political groups recommended by the opposition are expected to win 7 to 7 seats, of which the Assistant Administrator is expected to win 1 to 2 seats.

On the other hand, the four parties, the Liberal Democratic Party, the Nippon Ishin no Kai, and the Democratic Party for the People, who are willing to amend the Constitution, are expected to acquire 102 seats from 87 seats, and secure two-thirds of the entire House of Councilors necessary for proposing the amendment. It is certain that it will exceed 82 seats.

32 one-person districts nationwide

The victory or defeat of the entire election contest is determined by the one-person district with a capacity of 1 which is 32 in the whole country.

So far, 26 candidates for the Liberal Democratic Party and 2 candidates for the Constitutional Democratic Party have been elected in 28 constituencies.

There are 4 seats left.

Ultimately, the LDP is expected to win 26 to 30 seats, and the opposition party is expected to win 2 to 6 seats.

Last time, three years ago, the ruling party and the opposition party had a unified candidate confronting each other in all the one-person districts, with the LDP having 22 wins and the opposition party having 10 wins.