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The Middle East is witnessing intense shuttle visits ahead of US President Joe Biden's visit, scheduled for the middle of next month, coinciding with diplomatic movements and new developments that prepare the entire region in a hot summer.

In light of the repercussions of the Russian war on Ukraine, Iranian observers are anticipating regional alliances that may be directed against their country, and urge Tehran to block the way for “stalkers” with its security by reducing tension with its neighbors and resolving outstanding issues over its nuclear file.

For his part, the former leader of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, Hussein Kanaani Moghadam, describes the Iranian nuclear file as "the bottom line" on the shuttle talks, adding that it is not possible to read what is being planned for the Middle East apart from the Ukrainian crisis.

Kanani Moghadam warns of an Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear facilities (Al-Jazeera)

hot summer

Speaking to Al-Jazeera Net, the leader, Kanaani Moghadam, said that the world has become completely different from what it was before the Russian war on Ukraine, stressing that Washington is seeking to prolong the Ukrainian crisis to get a larger number of European countries to join NATO on the one hand, and expand the alliance to the east from On the other hand, as well as deepening European dependence on the United States, as he put it.

The Iranian official believed that the nuclear file had been affected by the repercussions of the Ukrainian crisis that cast a shadow over the Middle East, and foresaw a war looming in the region with the will of the United States, which sees creating a new crisis there - Iran may be one of its parties - as a balancing factor for the repercussions of the Russian war on Ukraine.

Kanaani Moghadam considered that the recent Iranian-European announcement to resume nuclear negotiations had eliminated the main Israeli plan to dismantle Tehran's nuclear program, "which might push the Zionists to adventure and implement Plan B, and launch an attack on the Iranian nuclear reactor."

The former leader of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard expected that the region would be on a date with a hot summer and new alliances "with the auspices of Zionism and America," adding that some Middle Eastern leaders had sensed the premeditated conspiracy and that some shuttle tours come in this context.


Opportunity available

Despite the Iranians’ unanimity on the importance and presence of their country’s nuclear file in regional consultations and the summit that Biden will attend, they are divided between those who see an opportunity to resolve the outstanding issues between Tehran and Washington, and others call on the Iranian negotiating delegation to be cautious and not go too far in optimism about the outcome of the new round that may be The last of its kind.

Meanwhile, Professor of International Relations at the University of Tehran, Rahman Ghahramanpour, believes that changing the location of the nuclear negotiations from Vienna to one of the Gulf states comes within the framework of the American desire to reach a comprehensive agreement with Iran on the nuclear and missile programs and Tehran's regional policy, adding that Iran's categorical position Remove the missile file from the indirect negotiations.

Since the United States had planned to reduce its military presence in the Middle East in order to focus on containing the Chinese threat, the Iranian academic calls on his country not to miss the opportunity available even before Biden's visit to the region and work to reduce tension at the nuclear and regional levels.

Qahramanpour estimated - in his speech to Al-Jazeera Net - that the outcome of the nuclear negotiations will affect the files that Biden will raise with Middle Eastern leaders and the decisions that the meeting will take regarding dealing with Iran.

He said that the coincidence of Biden's visit to the region, with the new round of nuclear negotiations, sends a message about the future of the United States' support for its allies in the Middle East, calling on Tehran to contribute to playing an active role in stabilizing the region, "because this will miss the opportunity for those stalking the Islamic Republic."

An Iranian expert believes that Lavrov's visit to Tehran comes to prevent any possible Western-Iranian understanding (Anatolia)

facing east west

On the other hand, the former Iranian ambassador to Britain, Jalal Sadatian, expresses his caution in talking about the future of the nuclear negotiations scheduled in Qatar this week, and stresses that Russia - which is still continuing its war on Ukraine - opposes the European and American approach regarding Iranian nuclear.

And Sadatian saw - in his speech to Al-Jazeera Net - that the specter of competition between Western and eastern powers has become overshadowed by the Iranian nuclear file, noting that Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov preceded the European Union's foreign and security policy official, Joseph Borrell, and visited the capital, Tehran, to prevent any possible Iranian-Western understanding.

He attributed the main reason behind the failure of the nuclear negotiations, during the past year, to the utilitarian vision of the Western and Eastern powers in dealing with the Iranian nuclear file, describing the role of regional mediation as positive in moving the still waters during the last three months.

The Iranian diplomat concluded that despite the conviction of the Iranian and Western sides of the necessity of reviving the nuclear agreement, some parties, including Russia, do not want to resolve the thorny issues between them, because they see the nuclear agreement as a Western tool to impose harsher sanctions on Moscow.