The two scenarios are not presented as forecasts but as possible processes.

In both cases, the spread of covid-19 may increase towards the end of the summer and continue to rise during September.

- As the spread of infection is now increasing in several other European countries, we could see an increase in the number of cases in Sweden already this summer.

Hopefully most people get mild symptoms, but if many are ill in society, it will lead to a certain burden on care, says Malin Bengnér, infection control doctor in the Jönköping County Region in a press release.

Vaccination protection

According to Bengnér, three vaccine doses provide good protection against serious illness for those who are relatively young and healthy.

Elderly and people in the risk group are judged to need more vaccine doses.

According to the Jönköping County Region, the protection against being infected with omicron is estimated to remain for three months after vaccination.

Against severe illness and death, the protection lasts longer.

Omikron dominates

The omicron variant is expected to continue to dominate.

- But there will be a lower peak in the spread of infection now than what we saw last winter with the omicron variant, said Sara Byfors, head of department at the Public Health Agency, earlier this week.

Javascript is disabled

Javascript must be turned on to play video

Read more about browser support

3 questions about covid scenarios