Hold Washington responsible for the continuation of the war

Sarkozy's adviser: America is helping to turn the tragic conflict in Ukraine into a possible global conflagration

  • Ukrainian soldiers and mercenaries surround a destroyed Russian tank.

    From the source

  • Zelensky: The bloodiest day of the war is yet to come.

    From the source

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Henri Guehenno, an adviser to former French President Nicolas Sarkozy, warned in the French daily La Figaro this month that the countries of Europe - under the shortsighted leadership of the United States - were "sleeping" during Ukraine's war with Russia.

Henry Guehenno used this description that historian Christopher Clark used to refer to the causes of World War I.

Of course, Guino understands that Russia is directly responsible for the conflict in Ukraine.

It was Russia that mobilized its forces on the border with Ukraine last fall and winter, and that was after it asked NATO for a number of security guarantees related to Ukraine, and NATO refused their request. As a result, Russia began bombing Ukraine on February 24.

global fire

But the United States helped turn this tragic and mysterious domestic conflict into a potential global conflagration.

Guehenno argues that by misunderstanding the logic of war, the West, led by the administration of US President Joe Biden, is giving the conflict an impetus that may be impossible to stop.

In 2014, the United States supported a violent uprising against the legitimately elected Ukrainian government headed by Viktor Yanukovych, the pro-Russian.

Defenders of the uprising drew on the corruption of the Yanukovych government, but corruption is a persistent Ukrainian problem, even today.

One can argue about Russian claims to Crimea, but the Russians take them seriously. Hundreds of thousands of Russian and Soviet fighters died defending the Crimean city, Sevastopol, against European forces during two sieges: one during the Crimean War, the other during World War II. .

In recent years, Russian control of Crimea seemed to provide a stable regional arrangement.

American rejection

But the United States never accepted that.

On November 10, 2021, the United States and Ukraine signed a "Strategic Partnership Charter" inviting Ukraine to join NATO, condemning "continued Russian aggression", and affirming a "unwavering commitment" to the reintegration of Crimea into Ukraine.

This charter, Guino wrote, "convinced Russia that Ukraine should be attacked."

"It is the inevitable process of 1914, with all its horrific facts," he added.

This is an honest account of the war that Russian President Vladimir Putin claims to be fighting.

“There was a continuous supply of the latest military equipment,” Putin said at Russia's annual Victory Parade on May 9, referring to foreign arms supplies to Ukraine.

Putin stressed that "the danger was increasing every day."

The difficult course of the war in Ukraine has thus far vindicated Putin's diagnosis, if not his behaviour.

Although Ukraine's military industry was important in the Soviet era, by 2014, the country barely had a modern army.

And the oligarchy, not the state, has armed and funded some of the militias that are being sent to fight the Russian-backed separatists in the east.

The United States began arming and training the Ukrainian military, initially hesitantly under former President Barack Obama.

Modern appliances began to trickle in during the administration of Donald Trump, and today the country is completely domesticated.

arming Ukraine

Since 2018, Ukraine has received US-made Javelin anti-tank missiles, Czech artillery, Turkish Bayraktar drones, and other NATO interoperable weapons.

Finally, the United States and Canada sent the modern British M777 howitzer, which fires GPS-guided "Exalber" shells.

President Biden just signed a $40 billion military aid package.

It seems that the mockery of Russia's performance on the battlefield was misplaced, and in fact Russia is not in a critical position as it has its own weapons, at least for the time being, against NATO's economic, electronic and advanced battlefield weapons.

This is the point where Guehenno accuses the West of sleepwalking, as the United States tries to maintain the illusion that "arming allies is not the same as participating in combat."

Such a claim may not be true in the information age, as the United States provided intelligence that was used to kill Russian generals.

Ukraine obtained information that it used to sink the Russian missile cruiser "Moskva" from the Black Sea, an accident in which about 40 sailors were killed.

The United States may play a more direct role.

There are thousands of foreign fighters in Ukraine.

One volunteer spoke to the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation this month about his fight alongside "friends from the Marines and from the United States."

Just as it is easy to cross the line between being an arms supplier and being a combatant, it is easy to cross the line from waging a proxy war to waging a covert war.

The illusion of victory

Few people were killed in the Russian takeover of Crimea in 2014. But this time, with weapons available — and in some cases even superior — Russia is back in a bombing war that looks a lot like World War II.

Even if we don't accept Putin's claim that America's arming Ukraine caused the war in the first place, that is surely why the war took an explosive and deadly kinetic form, and the Americans' role in this is not neutral or causal. We have given the Ukrainians reason to believe that they can Victory in an escalatory war.

Thousands of Ukrainians died, and they probably would not have died had the United States stepped aside.

This would naturally create among US policymakers a sense of a moral and political obligation to stay on course and escalate the conflict.

It appears that the United States is not only responsible for the escalation, but is also inclined to do so.

In March, Biden said that Putin "cannot stay in power."

In April, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin made it clear that "the United States wants to see Russia as weak."

The American thinker, Noam Chomsky, warned of the contradictory motives for such "heroic statements" in an interview in April.

"It might sound like a plagiarism of characters like Winston Churchill, it's very exciting," he said.

"But these statements can be a translation of the destruction of Ukraine."

For similar reasons, Biden's proposal to prosecute Putin for war crimes is an act of complete irresponsibility.

The charge is so serious that once leveled it does not encourage restraint, and after all, a chief who commits one atrocity, is as guilty of war as a chief who commits 1,000 similar crimes.

Such influence, whether intended or not, is intended to prevent any recourse to peace negotiations.

a critical stage

The situation on the battlefield in Ukraine developed into a critical stage, and both Russia and Ukraine suffered heavy losses.

But both have gained, too.

Russia has created a land bridge to Crimea, seized some of Ukraine's most fertile farmland and energy reserves, and in recent days has maintained momentum on the battlefield.

Ukraine, after a strong defense of its cities, can expect more NATO support, and this is a strong incentive not to end the war soon.

And if the war does not end soon, its dangers will increase.

The former US Secretary of State, Henry Kissinger, warned last week that "negotiations must begin in the next two months, before disturbances and tensions surface that will not be easily overcome."

He called for a return to the situation that existed before the war, adding: "Continuing the war after that point will not be about the freedom of Ukraine but a new war against Russia itself."

The United States will not make any concessions until it saves face.

There is an upcoming election.

Therefore, the administration closes off the means of negotiation and works to escalate the war, wishing oneself to win it.

Over time, the massive import of deadly weapons, including the new authorized appropriation of $40 billion, could escalate the war to a different level.

In a letter to students this month, Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky warned that the deadliest day of the war was yet to come.

The countries of Europe - under the short-sighted leadership of the United States - are “sleeping” during Ukraine's war with Russia.

It seems that the mockery of Russia's performance on the battlefield was misplaced, and in fact Russia is not in a critical position as it has its own weapons, at least for the time being, against NATO's economic, electronic and advanced battlefield weapons.

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