16 days before the nationwide local elections on June 1, three terrestrial broadcasters including SBS conducted a poll.

In the Seoul mayoral election, Democratic Party candidate Song Young-gil took 29.5% and People's Strength candidate Oh Se-hoon 49.1%.

For Gyeonggi Governor, Kim Dong-yeon and Kim Eun-hye are in a close battle.

Reporter Hwa Gang-yun reports the results of the investigation of six regional groups that are considered to be the winners.


I asked the citizens of Seoul who they would elect as mayor if tomorrow was voting day.

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With 29.5% of Democratic Party Song Young-gil and 49.1% of People's Power Oh Se-hoon, Candidate Oh Se-hoon took the lead outside the margin of error.

Kwon Su-jeong of the Justice Party had 0.9%, Shin Ji-hye of the Basic Income Party 0.2%, and independent candidate Kim Gwang-jong 0.3%.

When asked about the possibility of winning regardless of personal support, Song Young-gil 18.4% and Oh Se-hoon 66% widened the gap.

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Among the candidates for Incheon mayor, Park Nam-chun of the Democratic Party of Korea (DPRK) 30.4% and People's Power Yoo Jeong-bok 37.5% had the upper hand.

Justice Party candidate Lee Jung-mi won 3.6 percent.

Gyeonggi-do, which both the opposition and opposition parties consider to be the biggest match, is in a tight spot.

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With 37.3% of Democratic Party Kim Dong-yeon and 36.1% of People's Strength Kim Eun-hye, it is a close match within the margin of error.

Independent candidate Kang Yong-seok, who proposed unifying conservative candidates, was 2.9%, Justice Party Hwang Soon-shik 0.6%, Basic Income Party Seo Tae-seong 0.1%, and Progressive Party candidate Song Young-joo 0.1%.

Even in the middle class of the wind vane of the people, Kim Dong-yeon 34.5% and Kim Eun-hye 31.4% were tight.

The probability of winning was also difficult with Kim Dong-yeon 40.3% and Kim Eun-hye 36.8%.

By generation, those in their 30s and 50s supported Kim Dong-yeon more, and those in their 60s and older supported Kim Eun-hye more.

Where will the midfield vote go?

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The Chungnam governor, where the incumbent governor and incumbent lawmaker faced each other, competed within the margin of error with 34.3% Yang Seung-jo of the Democratic Party and 40.5% Kim Tae-heum of the People's Power.

Looking at the chances of winning, Yang Seung-jo 34.1% and Kim Tae-heum 38.9% were mixed up.

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In Chungbuk Province, which is a proxy war for new and old powers, candidate Kim Young-hwan took the lead with 27.8% of Democratic Party's Noh Young-min, a former chief of staff of President Moon Jae-in, and Kim Young-hwan, 42.8% of the people's strength, who served as a special adviser to elected Yoon Seok-yeol.

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The Gangwon governor had a lot of support for candidate Kim Jin-tae, with 33.9% of the Democratic Party's Lee Kwang-jae and 45.1% of the People's Strength candidate Kim Jin-tae.

(Video editing: Hwang Ji-young, CG: Jo Soo-in)

<Survey Overview>

Investigation Request: SBS

Research Institutions: Ipsos, Korea Research, Korea Research

Survey Date: May 14-15, 2022 

Survey Subject: 800 to 1,000 men and women aged 18 or older living in each constituency (Wired RDD and wireless virtual number extraction after allocating gender, age, and region)

Survey method: Wireless phone interview survey (wireless virtual number 100%)

Response rate: 13.9%~23.8% for each

province and province Weighting method: Weighted value by gender, age, and region Buyeo (cell weighted/based on resident registration population of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security at the end of April 2022)

Sample error: Seoul/Gyeonggi ±3.1%p (95% confidence level) Incheon/Gangwon/Chungbuk/Chungnam ±3.5%p (95% confidence level)

Details can be viewed on the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee or SBS News website.

▶View poll statistics table