• Andalusian elections Juanma Moreno advances the elections to June 19

The Andalusian opposition parties will not be able to claim that the electoral date has caught them off guard.

In fact, the debate on a hypothetical electoral advance has been on the table for months, specifically since Vox withdrew its support from the Andalusian Government and announced that it would not approve the

2022 budgets

.

And even so, neither the party of Santiago Abascal nor the new front of the left, with United We Can and More Country, have yet resolved who will lead their candidacy for the Presidency of the Board.

On the contrary, the socialist Juan Espadas has been running for months in a long pre-campaign but without daring to

sprint

before the risk of reaching the real campaign, which, now yes, begins in Andalusia.

PSOE: Juan Espadas, for the remains of 'susanismo'

The Andalusian PSOE did do its homework in time so that the electoral advance did not catch it in the process of renewal.

In fact, Pedro Sánchez forced the replacement of Susana Díaz and the election of Juan Espadas as a candidate and as secretary general of the Andalusian Socialists before last summer's vacations.

But, later, the process of renewal of the socialist executive was delayed until the fall and Espadas did not resign from the

Mayor's Office of Seville

until Christmas.

Only from then on was he able to dedicate himself exclusively to making himself known outside the Andalusian capital and to recompose the party.

For this reason, Juanma Moreno often recalls that, if he had only served his interests, he would have called the elections last October, "when the opponent's goal was empty."

Swords opened last week the process of composing the lists and announced a renewal of 70% which, in some constituencies such as Seville, could even reach 90%.

The objective now is to put an end to the remnants of

susanism

.

In fact, it is already known that several of those who were advisers in the last socialist government will not repeat, such as

Rosa Aguilar, Antonio Ramírez de Arellano

and even the former vice president of the Board,

Manuel Jiménez Barrios

.

However, the threats and denials of the early elections, which have alternated in the headlines over the last few months, have on some occasions driven the temperate Espadas out of his wits, who seemed afraid of exhausting himself if he put the machinery at full power before of time.

Now yes, the PSOE will put to the test an electoral muscle that was always the envy of the rest of the parties in Andalusia.

Although, unlike what happened in 2018, the powerful apparatus of the Board, with all its sounding boards including

Canal Sur,

will no longer be at your service.

Vox: Macarena Olona or the power of the brand

Vox has spent months promoting Macarena Olona from Alicante as a candidate for the Board, using her first name as a very

personal

denomination of origin to compensate for the lack of relevant biographical links with the autonomous community.

However, in Vox they have refused to formally decide on his candidacy until they are certain of the date of the call.

In recent weeks, the good vibes that have come to the party from all the polls, with or without Olona leading the Andalusian ballot, have led Vox to rethink the decision.

Olona has become a fundamental asset for the populist right in national politics and sacrificing her in the Andalusian campaign could be a miscalculation.

In any case, he will be an omnipresent figure in the pre-campaign and is already heating up the nets posing in a flamenco dress: warning to sailors.

For Andalusia.

A front on the left under construction

The parties to the left of the PSOE have been testing for months a possible broad left front, in the style of the one that Yolanda Díaz intends to lead for the general elections, although the minister does not want to wear herself out in this campaign.

Izquierda Unida, Podemos, Más País and Los Verdes Equo would be the recognizable formations of an electoral platform that tries to add other political and social agents, some of them from the ill-fated Andalusian heritage;

but that runs aground fundamentally, which is to find a candidate who is capable of uniting wills, giving ideological feedback to the left and, what is more important, re-mobilizing their voters.

After showing an astonishing slowness in making decisions,

the platform arrives at the time of the call without leadership and without consensus even on the name of the creature.

This same Monday it was filtered in the morning that

For Andalusia

would be the denomination that would definitively unite the left.

But Podemos, which promotes, in parallel to the negotiation, its own candidate, the civil guard

Juan Antonio Delgado

, stood out hours later.

The electoral advance puts pressure, inevitably, on the confluent, who will have to definitively clear all the unknowns in a maximum margin of ten days, which is the period that begins to count this Tuesday for the registration of the candidacies.

Forward Andalusia: Teresa Rodríguez, by free

The one who fell out of the negotiation of that front of the left in the first bars was Teresa Rodríguez, who has inherited a brand, Adelante Andalucía, emptied of content and with the Mayor's Office of Cádiz as the only institutional bastion.

Her breakup with Podemos on the eve of the pandemic began as an amicable divorce and ended as the rosary of dawn.

Today, 11 parliamentarians from the confluence that participated in the 2018 elections are part of the non-attached group after being expelled from their original group as

"turncoats"

.

That left them with hardly any budget coverage and without a voice in the moments of greatest media projection of parliamentary life, a defenestration that is being appealed before the Constitutional Court.

Rodríguez set as a condition to negotiate with the left-wing front the recovery of the parliamentary rights of the 11

exiles

.

There was, however, no will on either side to overcome the memorial of mutual grievances.

Citizens: The 'sacrificed' partner of the coalition of change

Juan Marín has been publicly expressing his opposition to the early elections for weeks.

Ciudadanos is still in free fall in the polls and aspired to exhaust the legislature confident of turning the trend around.

But the mistakes made at the national level, the lack of territorial establishment of the party and the growing polarization of the electorate are allied to punish the Liberal party, not only in the polls, but also in the last appointments with the polls:

Catalonia, Madrid and Castile and León

.

The death of the counselor Javier Imbroda has been the last blow for a game that is played in Andalusia its survival.

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  • vox

  • Can

  • PSOE

  • John Swords

  • Theresa Rodriguez

  • Macarena Olona

  • More Country

  • UI

  • Javier Ibroda

  • Yolanda Diaz

  • Forward Andalusia

  • constitutional Court

  • citizens

  • Castile and Leon

  • Seville

  • Santiago Abascal Count

  • United We Can

  • Pedro Sanchez

  • susana diaz