The legislative ones, Macron's last battle: key dates on the political calendar in France

• Macron defeats the far-right Le Pen and promises "a renewed mandate"

Emmanuel Macron

has won the second round against

.

He will be the next president of France, but the battle is not over.

On the horizon are the legislative elections next June, which will define Macron's room for maneuver to carry out his electoral promises.

What are the next steps, what awaits the president from now on?

When will Macron be sworn in?

Next Wednesday,

is the official proclamation of the results.

The person in charge of doing it is the president of the Constitutional Council, Laurent Fabius, and this procedure serves to make the re-election of the president official.

May 1

it is the date of the end of Macron's mandate, so the investiture ceremony must be held one day between these two (when has not yet been determined).

The investiture ceremony takes place in the Festival Hall of the Elysée Palace and Macron must be accompanied by Prime Minister Jean Castex as well as the presidents of the National Assembly (Richard Ferrand, of his party, La República en Marcha) and of the Senate (Gérard Larcher, from the conservative Los Republicanos).

It is considered that, when it comes to re-election, the ceremony should be as austere as possible.

When does the Government resign and a new one is appointed?

Days before the second round, Castex announced that

because, in his words "a new impulse had to be found" before the legislative ones.

It is a kind of "courtesy resignation", as it has sometimes been called, which is not deduced from any text and is rather a tradition in the history of France.

However, until now this tradition was respected in "Cohabitation Governments", that is, when the prime minister was from a different party than the elected president.

Something that has not happened now.

For the first time since the re-election of Charles de Gaulle, Macron has been re-elected with a prime minister of the same political colour.

Castex, however, will remain in his post for at least a "transition week."

In theory, Macron could name his new 'premier'

What do the legislative elections in June imply?

First of all, a note.

In France, according to tradition, in years when there are presidential elections, the Assembly suspends its work - that is, it cannot, in principle, vote on any law - weeks before the first round of presidential elections and until the second round of legislative elections. .

So, from March to the end of June, France cannot pass new rules.

The particularity of this 2022 is that the time between the election of the President of the Republic and the legislative elections has never been so long (two months).

Which implies that Macron's rivals, especially

and

they have considerable time to campaign, remobilize voters and jeopardize the president's majority in the Assembly, obtaining more votes for their parties in the legislative elections.

When are these elections held and what can happen?

The campaign for the legislative elections officially starts on May 30 and the first and second rounds are held on June 12 and 19.

But Le Pen and Mélenchon have already "started" the campaign.

"Do not resign yourselves, the third round begins tonight to beat Macron and choose another path," the leftist Mélenchon asked his supporters yesterday, who aspires to even bring together other leftist parties - such as the environmentalists or the communists, with the that is meeting these days - to obtain a majority of that political party and seize power in the Assembly.

It is the same strategy as Le Pen who, last night, after being defeated, warned that he will continue to give "the battle", affirming that the results demonstrate "the will" of the French for a "counterpower" with respect to Macron.

What are the chances that Macron does not win the legislative elections?

In theory, Macron starts with an advantage.

Not only because the French usually give the majority to the president elected in the legislative elections, but also because

(even more so thanks to re-election) while just the opposite happens with his rivals.

In the left-wing bloc represented by Mélenchon, the divisions are evident: in the first round there were up to 6 candidates from this political party and, despite the fact that Mélenchon was classified as the 'third' (with more than 7.7 million votes), many 'brother' parties still do not recognize him as the most capable of gathering behind him a majority of that political party.

Something similar, although less marked, occurs with the voters of the extreme right,

However, polls say that

And furthermore, the 'defeated' or disappointed voters tend to mobilize more than those of the victors.

We will have to wait until June.

The last "cohabitation" in France dates back to the period from 1997 to 2002, when the conservative Jacques Chirac appointed the socialist Lionel Jospin as prime minister.

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