One year after the regional elections that elevated

Pere Aragonès

to the Presidency of the Generalitat, the x-ray of the Catalan political spectrum remains practically unchanged.

The PSC and ERC would once again dispute victory if new elections were held in Catalonia today and the independence movement would add enough deputies to govern the community again even if the socialists were to prevail again.

This is what the barometer of the Center for Opinion Studies (CEO) points out, which provides as its main novelty a marked decrease in Junts, the formation chaired by

Carles Puigdemont

.

According to the survey carried out by the Generalitat's demoscopic entity, the PSC would obtain between 34 and 39 parliamentarians -compared to the 33 it currently has-, followed by ERC, which would achieve between 33 and 38 -a year ago it obtained 32- and Junts, which, with between 23 and 28, he would go from tying deputies with the Republicans to losing up to five.

The CEO therefore points out that ERC continues to distance itself from its great electoral rival to establish itself as the main party of secessionism.

Behind the party of the fugitive, Vox would repeat as the fourth force with between 9 and 12 seats (now it has 11), the CUP, which would go from nine to between 8 and 11, and the

commons

, who would also stagnate when predicting the poll between 6 and 10 deputies for the 8 that it currently holds.

The expectations of the PP would improve, which would recover its own group in Parliament by going from 3 to between 6 and 8 seats and would continue to decline Citizens: the orange formation has 6 deputies and the CEO predicts that it would fall to four in the best of the scenarios and that he would lose his representation, in the worst of them.

The barometer indicates that there are many possibilities that a new independence government would lead the Generalitat, since ERC, Junts and the CUP would add between 64 and 77 seats, when the absolute majority in the Catalan Chamber stands at 67.

Despite this, the barometer confirms that the opponents of the secession of Catalonia are imposed on those who want independence by four points.

48% reject the separation from the rest of Spain by 44% who support it.

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