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The Ukrainians are crossing their fingers so that an agreement comes out of

Istanbul

that does not blow up their country, but ends with an invasion that could reduce it to ashes under Russian bombs.

Meanwhile,

Moscow

is looking for a graceful solution to a conflict in which it has already lost more soldiers and material than in all its last wars combined and which has not had substantial gains in land, in addition to international isolation and the bankruptcy of its economy.

Mired in the battlefield, a diplomatic offensive is now expected that will not have much better chances for peace before

Ukraine

becomes a labyrinth with no way out.

The conditions of this dialogue have improved just by putting a more or less neutral host to direct the negotiations, because the previous ones held in

Belarus

did not have that figure and the one who set the table was an interested party in the conflict.

Russian tycoon

Roman Abramovich

is participating in the negotiations.

Some sources say that he is one of the most interested in reaching some kind of agreement to recover his enormous fortune, like other oligarchs sanctioned by the

West

.

According to the Financial Times

on Tuesday

,

Russia

would be willing to make an important concession: allowing

Ukraine

to enter the

European Union

as long as it maintains its military neutrality.

For its part, Ukraine insists on security guarantees in exchange for giving up

NATO membership

.

On some points there may be agreement and on others, the positions are very far apart.

The Ukrainians, after the episode of the attempted poisoning of the oligarch

Roman Abramovich

and several members of the Ukrainian delegation a few weeks ago, are very skeptical about the real intentions of the Russian leader.

The Ukrainian Foreign Minister,

Dmitro Kuleba

, advised the delegation of his country that participates in the negotiations with

Russia

in

Turkey

"not to eat or touch anything", given the suspicions of poisoning that arose in previous meetings.

In addition, the

Kremlin

has spent weeks assuring one thing and doing the opposite, as when it stated that it would never invade Ukraine or that its mission would focus on the

Donbas

.

No one in

Kiev

trusts

Putin anymore

and they want everything in writing.

Turkish

President

Recep Tayyip Erdogan urged negotiators to act "responsibly".

"We believe that there are no losers in a just and equitable peace. The continuation of the war is not to the liking of any of the parties and an immediate ceasefire would benefit all," the Turkish president stressed in his televised address.

Security Guarantees

David Arajamia

, one of

Zelenski

's negotiators , has assured

The Financial Times

that this point in the negotiations is very close to an agreement.

"Security guarantees and the neutral and non-nuclear status of our state. We are ready to accept this. This is the most important point," the Ukrainian president told Russian media this weekend.

What

Kiev

wants is that in five years

Russia

will not do the same thing again with some other excuse.

Ukraine's entry into the EU

These security guarantees should also include respecting

Ukraine

's intentions to join the

European Union

.

Moscow

, in principle, seems willing to give in on this point as long as

Ukraine

maintains its military neutrality and does not host foreign military bases on its territory, four sources close to the negotiation have pointed out to the

Financial Times

.

immediate ceasefire

It is the most important request demanded by the Ukrainian side, which sees how every day

Russia

destroys more cities and valuable structures in its country, such as hospitals, bridges, roads or ports.

Stop the bloodletting and then agree on peace conditions and not the other way around.

In fact, during the negotiations in

Turkey

, the anti-aircraft alarms have not stopped being felt throughout the country and the bombs have continued to fall.

Denazification

One of Vladimir Putin's pretexts for launching this aggressive war is no longer on the table.

Especially since we are actually talking about a government elected by 74% of Ukrainians whose president is of Jewish descent.

Moscow

's media terminals

clamor for the presence of some small groups of volunteers within its army, such as the Azov battalion, to justify the bombings, but the reality is that not all of its members are from the extreme right, nor does it have a size to represent more of 1% within the total of the Ukrainian army.

Putin

now removes that goal of "denazification" from the negotiating table.

Neutrality

Vladimir Putin

had been warning of his red lines for months through ultimatums to

Washington

, where he warned of the "expansion of

NATO

to the east" and that

Ukraine

's movements to request membership of the Atlantic club would be considered a "hostile movement" towards

Russia

, which would prefer a "cushion state", as they say, to avoid having its "enemies 400 kilometers from

Moscow

".

Volodomir Zelensky has already stated several times in recent days that "

Ukraine

will not be a member of

NATO

."

In other words, this is one less obstacle to achieve peace.

territorial distribution

Unlike the two previous points, in which there may be a quick agreement, it is at this point that there is more friction.

We still don't know what

Vladimir Putin will ask to sign

Turkey

's proposed peace document

, but if he wants to sell a victory in

Moscow

after the huge casualties suffered, he must include territories he didn't have before this invasion, like

Crimea

and

Donbas

.

The effort of his troops to take

Mariupol

may reveal that he wants to keep a corridor linking the peninsula with the

Donbas

, but at the moment it is speculation, because he continues to rearm his units stationed in the towns surrounding

Kiev

and bombing areas inside the country.

Zelensky

assures that he will not give up any region because one of his requests, which has not yet been dropped, is total sovereignty over all Ukrainian territory.

The Russians, on the contrary, ask that

Kiev

recognize the independence of the so-called people's republics that it already controls.

officiality of the Russian language

Another issue on which

Ukraine

does not seem to resist.

Russian is, de facto, the mother tongue for millions of Ukrainians who live not only in the

Donbas , but also in areas near the

Crimean

peninsula

, such as

Kherson

, which have received the occupying Russian troops very badly.

In

Kharkov

the mother tongue is also Russian, but its inhabitants have had to flee because Putin's carpet bombings have left the city destroyed.

Defining the Russian language as "co-official" with the Ukrainian is not a problem for the

Zelensky

government .

Continuity of the Zelensky government

Overthrowing the Ukrainian president and installing a puppet like

Viktor Yanukovych

was one of the ideas that the

Kremlin

had during the first days of the invasion.

Putin

even called

Zelensky

and his ministers "Nazis and drug addicts" and assured that he was going to overthrow his government.

The Ukrainian leader had to endure up to three assassination attempts.

Four weeks later, the

Kremlin

spokesman says the opposite, that it was never the goal of

Moscow

, which recognizes

Zelensky

as the legitimate president of

Ukraine

.

Another stumbling block saved by the force of events and the fierce Ukrainian resistance.

If peace is signed, it seems that

Zelensky

will be the president who rebuilds the country.

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