The aesthetic circle believes that clarifying whether or not to send troops to the Taiwan Strait is equivalent to launching "martial reunification" Zhu Lilun's visit to the United States will raise new cross-strait discussions "testing the water temperature"
China Taiwan Network, March 24. Recently, a number of polls on the island show that in the past six months, the number of Taiwanese people who believe that the United States will defend against the "army reunification" has dropped significantly.
Affected by the Russian-Ukrainian war, most people on the island are worried that Taiwan will become the so-called "Second Ukraine", and the sharp drop in trust in the United States also proves that the overall atmosphere of Taiwan's society has undergone great changes. "Taiwan independence" is still unwilling and does not want to face this reality.
However, the mainstream view of the Taiwan-related academic circles in the United States has timely poured cold water on those who are still superstitious about the so-called "Taiwan-US relations are rock-solid."
At a seminar a few days ago, some American scholars pointed out that if the United States "clearly stated" whether to send troops to help defend Taiwan, it would be "not far" from the mainland's "armed reunification" of Taiwan, and Taiwan will become the most powerful country on earth. Strong two armies on the battlefield.
It is worth mentioning that the Chinese Kuomintang, which represents another voice on the island, has planned party chairman Zhu Lilun to visit the United States in May. It is reported that he is likely to put forward a new cross-strait discussion in the United States to "test the water."
Most Taiwanese people's confidence in the US "supporting Taiwan" has collapsed
According to comprehensive Taiwan media reports, the Russian-Ukrainian war has continued for nearly a month, and all circles on the island have begun to re-examine the current "Taiwan-US relations". The poll results of different institutions on the island have fully proved this point.
First, a poll released by the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation on the 22nd showed that people on the island who believed that the United States would help defend Taiwan dropped sharply from 65% to 34% half a year ago, a drop of as much as 30%.
A poll released by Taiwan's TVBS on the 23rd also showed that 55% of Taiwanese people did not believe that the United States would send troops to assist in the defense of a war between the two sides of the strait.
Obviously, most of the Taiwanese people have sobered up and no longer believe in the so-called "Taiwan-US relations are rock-solid" by the DPP and some outdated politicians in the US. The Taiwanese people's confidence in the US's so-called "support for Taiwan" has collapsed .
People on the island generally believe that cross-strait relations are more "hostile" than under Ma Ying-jeou
Hong Kong's "China Review" published a commentary analysis on the 23rd. Long before these polls were released, many people had warned that "the United States is unreliable", including former Taiwan leader Ma Ying-jeou, well-known political scientist Xiong Jie and others, all bluntly said that "the United States is not reliable." will not go to war."
Up to now, only "Taiwan independence" remains unwilling and unwilling to face it.
In terms of cross-strait relations, the latest poll shows that 56% of Taiwanese people believe that cross-strait relations are "hostile", which is 20% higher than that of cross-strait relations. Compared with the survey results of Ma Ying-jeou in 2013 when he took office The proportion of "hostile" was nearly 20% higher, while the proportion of "friendly" was significantly reduced.
In addition, nearly 60% of Taiwanese people hope that the Taiwan Strait can "maintain the status quo".
A number of US experts: a clear strategy towards Taiwan is equivalent to launching "army reunification"
According to Hong Kong's "China Review News Agency" report, at a recent online seminar titled "Ukraine and Taiwan: Similarities and Early Lessons" held by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a U.S. think tank, several U.S. experts discussed how the U.S. will be affected by the Ukraine crisis. Discuss whether the Taiwan strategy should be clarified.
They agreed that strategic clarity on Taiwan is not a good idea at the moment.
John Culver, a former senior U.S. intelligence officer for East Asia, even pointed out that the debate over the clarity of the U.S. strategy towards Taiwan is a "performance" of U.S. domestic politics.
He warned that the clarification of defense against Taiwan is the way to make war break out in the Taiwan Strait as soon as possible, which will make Taiwan the two most powerful military battlefields on earth.
Blue Camp: Zhu Lilun will go to the United States in May to present a new cross-strait discussion
In addition, Zhu Lilun plans to visit the United States in May. The outside world is curious whether there will be a new cross-strait discussion to go to the United States to "test the water temperature"?
In this regard, Li Dewei, chief deputy secretary of the Chinese Kuomintang Taiwan Legislative Group, revealed that Zhu Lilun has always been very concerned about cross-strait issues and "Taiwan-US relations", and now cross-strait discussions have also encountered some bottlenecks, so if Zhu Lilun proposes some new discussions, of course It won't come as a surprise.