Presidential polls 2022: Macron on the rise, Mélenchon in the second round?

In recent days, the formalization of Emmanuel Macron's candidacy and the confirmation by the Constitutional Council of the final list of twelve candidates for the presidential election have marked the campaign.

As it enters its home stretch, we have aggregated for you the results of the polls carried out this week by various institutes: 

and 

.

The graphs in this article allow you to view a summary of voting intentions in the first and second rounds by institute and by opposition scenario in the second round.

Voting intentions in the first round of the 2022 presidential election

Despite a desired discreet entry into the campaign and a still complicated international context, the outgoing president is continuing his excellent momentum in the polls.

Indeed, Emmanuel Macron continues to progress in the latest surveys of the various pollsters, and systematically reaches 30% of voting intentions in the first round, until reaching 33.5% in the last

poll of March 8.

In this context, only two candidates seem to be stabilizing or progressing.

In all the statements, Marine Le Pen retains second place, with 17 to 18% of voting intentions.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, candidate for France Insoumise, continues to rise in the polls and overtakes Valérie Pécresse and Eric Zemmour for the first time in the latest

survey , with 13% of voting intentions, against 10.5 and 11 respectively. % for the two candidates on the right.

As far as the Socialist Party is concerned, the withdrawal of Christiane Taubira does not seem to benefit Anne Hidalgo at all.

Indeed, the latter would collect only 1.5% of the vote, a score that has been in constant decline for several weeks.

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By default, we show you the latest polls published by Harris-Interactive.

By clicking on the drop-down menu below, you can view the results according to other institutes.

Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Marine Le Pen

The dynamic favorable to Emmanuel Macron in the first round seems to be confirmed in the event of a second round opposing him to the candidate of the National Rally.

and

give the outgoing President a 16-point lead (58% voting intentions), the largest gap since December 2021.

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Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Valérie Pécresse

For Valérie Pécresse, the difficulties observed in the first round translate into the hypothesis of a qualification in the second round.

poll

dated March 7, Emmanuel Macron is given the clear winner, with more than two-thirds of the voting intentions (67%), a gap that continues to grow over the weeks.

For

and

, the difference is less significant but the trend remains the same, with 61% of voting intentions in favor of the candidate of La République en Marche.

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Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Eric Zemmour

If he found himself opposed to Eric Zemmour, Emmanuel Macron could once again win with a substantial advantage.

and

 anticipate an advantage of 34 points in favor of the current President (67% of voting intentions) against the Reconquest candidate.

This is once again the biggest difference recorded on this second-round hypothesis.

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By default, we show you the latest polls published by Harris-Interactive.

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Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Jean-Luc Mélenchon

If Jean-Luc Mélenchon seems to be one of the candidates with one of the best dynamics in the first round, this does not seem to translate into the hypothesis of a second round against Emmanuel Macron.

As against Valérie Pécresse or Eric Zemmour, the outgoing president would win with a significant advantage over the representative of France Insoumise, who currently only collects 31 to 37% of voting intentions in the second round, according to the latest readings.

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By default, we show you the latest polls published by Harris-Interactive.

By clicking on the drop-down menu below, you can view the results according to other institutes.

For more on the polls featured here, check out our sources below:​

• OpinionWay

• Ifop-Fiducial 

• Harris-Interactive

• Elaba

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• Presidential election 2022

• Jean-Luc Melenchon

• Emmanuel Macron

• Eric Zemmour

• Marine Le Pen

• Elections

• 2022 Presidential Polls

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