In all three prediction surveys conducted during the period when public opinion polls were banned, the results showed that People's Power candidate Yoon Seok-yeol outperformed Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung outside the margin of error.
As a result of a Gallup Korea poll on 2,199 adults nationwide on the 7th and 8th, as a result of polling candidates for voting (95% confidence level, sampling error ±2.1% points, response rate 18.1%), 40% Lee and 46% Yoon ranked 6 He said it was a percentage point difference.
The expected turnout rates calculated by estimating and distributing the voting probabilities of the opinion-reserving class assuming a turnout of 76.7% were 44.4% for Lee and 52.0% for Candidate Yoon.
During the same period, in a predictive survey conducted by Research View of 1,000 people 18 years of age or older with intent to vote (±3.1 percentage points at 95% confidence level, response rate 6.1%), Candidate Lee was 44.5% and Candidate Yoon was 52.1%, 7.6 It was a percentage point difference.
In addition, in a prediction survey conducted by Realmeter on 3,000 voters nationwide at the request of the Media Herald during the same period (95% confidence level, sampling error ±1.8% points, response rate 11.9%), on the 7th, Candidate Lee had 46.5% and Yoon Yoon Candidate 50.2%, on the 8th, candidate Lee 47.1%, and candidate Yoon 50.2%.
For more information on the Gallup Korea Research View Real Meter survey announced today (9th), please refer to the website of the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee.
(Photo = Yonhap News)