War in Ukraine China offers itself as a mediator in Ukraine and India lends itself to a double game
Great Hall of the People
, west
of Tiananmen Square
.
The annual political window has been opened in which 2,980 deputies from all over the country travel to
Beijing
to study the priorities and plans of the central government.
They do not have any voting power, although they do have a voice to propose ideas and projects.
Those who should supervise the work of the government and promulgate laws are the 250 members of
the Central Committee of the Communist Party
.
Although, in reality, what they do is seal guidelines already decided in advance by President Xi Jinping and his comrades in the Executive.
This early Saturday began the
National People's Congress
(
NPC
), the conclave of the Chinese Parliament.
In the Legislative of the second world power, the political, economic and social bases of the year are set.
The work report presented by Prime Minister
Li Keqiang
has revealed that defense spending will increase by 7.1% (last year it grew by 6.8%) to 1.45 trillion yuan (217,000 million euros). ).
It has also set the economic growth rate for 2022 at around 5.5%, the lowest target in three decades, with the exception of 2020, when the pandemic paralyzed the economy.
Last year, growth was 8.1%.
The current slowdown is part of the inalienable national strategy of
Covid zero
.
The Asian country has had its borders closed for two years.
It is the only major economy that remains isolated from the rest of the world.
Its GDP has been weighed down in recent months also by a real estate crisis and energy shortages, to which is added the increase in the cost of raw materials.
The recovery is losing steam.
Diplomatic Juggling in the Ukraine War
But this first plenary session has been marked by the
war in Ukraine
.
Silence on this in the Beijing assembly.
The Chinese government has been juggling diplomats for two weeks, caught between Russia and the West.
They speak of "neutrality" because they do not support
Putin
, but neither have they condemned the attack or spoken of an invasion.
China
has abstained three times from voting
on the UN Security Council
resolution demanding
Russia
stop its attack on
Ukraine
.
Chinese ministers and spokesmen only open their mouths to ask for dialogue between
Moscow
and
Kiev
.
Xi Jinping
and
Putin
share a common rival,
Washington
.
Therein lies their solid strategic relationship, stronger than ever.
But
Beijing
also wants to maintain its strong trade ties with
Europe
and not break with
the United States
for good .
"
China
supports the world order based on the rules of respecting the sovereignty of the nation-state; it is not in favor of revisionism or militarist interventions. It also wants to maintain a stable relationship with the
US
because the
current political and economic
status quo
suits it," says
Harun Yilmaz
, a Central Asia analyst at the
Harvard University
.
China, the best mediator
Many experts argue that the
war in Ukraine
is the first global crisis in which
China
, as a great power, could intervene as a mediator.
For
Cheng Yijun
, a researcher on
China
-
Russia
relations at the Chinese
Academy of Social Sciences ,
Beijing
is likely to
maintain its current position.
"
Russia is
China
's strategic partner
, while
Ukraine
is also a friend.
Russia 's move to deploy troops should be blamed from a moral perspective, but based on
China
's national interest
, it makes no sense for
Beijing
to condemn it," says Cheng, who recalls previous conflicts led by
Russia
, such as the 2008 war with
Georgia
and the invasion of
Crimea
in 2014, in which China maintained "its position of asking for restraint" without supporting any country.
The state chain CCTV has issued these days positive reports on the Ukrainian president.
But it also cut Friday, during the opening ceremony of the
Winter Paralympics
in
Beijing
, a speech by
Andrew Parsons
, president of
the International Paralympic Committee
, who remembered the Ukrainian victims of the Russian attack.
Other print media have run continual editorials blaming the
United States directly for
Russia
's attack
.
Both
Chinese Communist Party
(
CCP
) spokesmen and the many newspapers they serve share
Putin 's argument over and over again that
Moscow
's action is a response to
NATO
's expansion
into
Eastern Europe
.
They have adopted their version of the war from Russian propaganda, starting by buying their northern neighbor's definition of a "special military operation" on what Russian troops are doing in
Ukraine
.
Public opinion on the side of Moscow
Majority public opinion on Chinese social media - at least what the censors let show - has sided with
Moscow
.
Some Russian stores that sell their products on the Chinese platform JD announced that they had sold out of all their
stock
because the Chinese bought en masse to support
Russia
after the sanctions.
In
Beijing , the
Canadian
embassy decided to put a
Ukrainian
flag at its entrance
.
The next day,
"
Fuck
NATO"
graffiti was found on his wall.
Part of the most critical current against
Russia
has been censored from the national cyberspace.
Just ask the five Chinese historians who signed a letter calling for peace and denouncing the attack ordered by
Putin
.
It barely lasted 40 minutes online.
Instead, the vituperation did not affect the many Chinese nationalists who fawned over the Russian president on the networks and who asked
Xi Jinping
to take the opportunity to take the example and invade
Taiwan
.
An eye on Taiwan: "Reunification is inevitable"
With what happened in
Ukraine
, these days many have put an eye on the autonomous island that
China
considers a separatist province.
Beijing has been threatening an invasion for years because, in Xi's own words, "reunification is inevitable."
In the week in which the most important meeting of the Chinese political elite has begun,
there has also been movement in
Taiwan : a delegation of former top
US security and defense officials
visited the island.
A trip that has made
Beijing
very angry , who have interpreted it as a provocation from Washington.
"We firmly oppose any separatist activities that seek Taiwan's independence,"
Li Keqiang
said at the NPC opening.
Former Chairman of
the US Joint Chiefs of Staff
Mike
Mullen
led the delegation that met with
Taiwanese
President
Tsai Ing-wen
.
Also on that visit was
Mike Pompeo , former
US
Secretary of State and
China
's scourge
during the
Trump era
.
"The US government must offer
Taiwan
diplomatic recognition as a free and sovereign country," Pompeo later wrote on Twitter.
An acknowledgment that, if completed, could push
Beijing
to fulfill his eternal promise of reunification - which would translate as an invasion - of what he considers his separatist island.
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