Emmanuel Macron will announce his candidacy for the Elysee this Thursday

• France Macron warns: "The war returned to Europe. And it will last"

French President

announce his candidacy for the Elysée on Thursday.

An open secret that only needed to know the official confirmation.

The president, focused on the war between Russia and Ukraine, has postponed until the last moment the announcement of his second campaign - the deadline set by the Constitutional Council was March 4 - making his words prophetic, last December, when he gave a speech on France's priorities in the European Union.

"

," Macron said then, still ignoring that the following months were going to turn his political agenda upside down, forcing him to focus all his efforts on the crisis between Moscow and Kiev that ended up leading to a war ago. only a week.

Macron is going to ask for the vote through a "Letter to the French" that will be published this afternoon.

The chosen format is not original and has already been used by both François Mitterrand and Nicolas Sarzoky (both of them, also at the end of their first mandate - the only one, for Sarkozy) to try to convince the French to choose them again.

With only 38 days to go before the presidential elections, the other candidates do not want the international crisis to overshadow the national news and have asked Macron to debate with them as soon as possible, in part because they fear that his role as president (and not just any president, but one who regularly speaks with both Putin and Zelensky) gives him a boost in the polls that is difficult to counter.

"In a crisis of this magnitude,

. His rivals are obliged to compete with him in a field that is not favorable to them: that of the international arena, reserved for the head of state" , says Francois Bourmaud, political editor at

And it is that never, under the Fifth Republic (since 1958), an international crisis has had such an impact on a presidential campaign.

Macron, instead of making it a handicap, intends to take advantage of it electorally, setting himself up as a kind of

that leaves all of Europe paralyzed and frightened.

Without going any further, in the solemn speech that he addressed to the nation yesterday, Macron said that the invasion of Ukraine signals "a change of era", in which "democracy is not considered an unquestionable regime", for which Europe must make "historic decisions".

And he added: "

".

The war has made Macron more popular.

According to one of the latest polls on voting intentions, on February 28, carried out by Ifop for

and

Macron would obtain up to 28% of the votes followed, more than 10 points, by the candidate from the far right

(16%) and the far right Éric Zemmour (14%).

Pécresse, the Republican candidate who entered the battle in December threatening to steal votes from Le Pen, has been declining in the polls for weeks and would reach only 13%, almost the same percentage as Jean Luc Mélenchon (extreme left).

Given this scenario, her rivals ask the head of state to go down to the

politics and come back to discuss the other issues that concern the French, such as health, purchasing power or security.

"It is necessary for

presidential candidate, because he owes the French a balance", Le Pen, the best placed to reach the second electoral round, recently said.

In 2017, Macron became the youngest elected president of France at the age of 39 and could now be the first to renew his mandate since the conservative Jacques Chirac (1995-2007).

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• Ukraine

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