With the 20th presidential election approaching six days away, three terrestrial broadcasters, including SBS, conducted a final joint poll.
The investigation period was from March 1 to 2, and was conducted before candidate Ahn Cheol-soo of the People's Party resigned, and candidate Ahn was also included in the results.
First, if tomorrow is election day, I asked who they would vote for.
Democratic Party Candidate Jae-myung Lee 37.1%, People's Power Candidate Seok-yeol Yoon 42.1%, the gap was 5 percentage points, and candidate Yoon took the lead outside the margin of error.
Justice Party candidate Shim Sang-jung took 1.8 percent, and People's Party candidate Ahn Cheol-su, who announced his resignation, had 7.4 percent.
9.6% of those who answered that they did not support any candidate or did not know.
Comparing with the first poll of the three broadcasting companies in the middle of last month, Candidate Lee rose by 1.9 percentage points, while Candidate Yoon rose by 2.9 percentage points.
If we look at the support groups of candidates Jae-myung Lee and Seok-yeol Yoon by ideological orientation, in the middle class of 'casting boat', candidate Yoon was 'outside the margin of error'.
Compared to last month's survey, the gap between the two candidates' middle class approval ratings widened from 5 percentage points to 7 percentage points.
By region, in the 'key game' metropolitan area, candidate Yoon had the upper hand in Seoul, while Incheon and Gyeonggi Province were close.
The chances of winning were Jae-myung Lee 41.3% and Seok-yeol Yoon 47.1%, with more responses predicting candidate Yoon.
Regarding the nature of the presidential election, 35.8% needed to empower the ruling party candidate to extend the government, and 54.5% needed to strengthen the opposition candidate for regime change.
Regarding the evaluation of President Moon Jae-in's state management, 43.4% were positive and 54% were negative.
Party approval ratings were 34.5% for the Democratic Party, 38.2% for People's Power, 4.3% for the Justice Party, and 4.7% for the People's Party.
The intention to vote reached 97.7%, including 87.9% of active voters,
35.3% of respondents said they would vote in advance tomorrow (the 4th) and the day after tomorrow (the 5th), and 60.5% of the votes on the 9th, the election day.
Other details will be delivered on 'SBS 8 News' starting at 7:50 PM tonight.
For this survey, three terrestrial broadcasters including SBS commissioned the presidential exit polls, such as Ipsos, to get responses from 2,03 voters nationwide on the 1st and 2nd, just before the public opinion poll ban period, and the sampling error is 95% reliable. ±2.2 percentage points to the level.
The three broadcasting companies will conduct a joint exit poll on the day of the presidential election on March 9, and deliver the results at 7:30 pm, when all voting for corona confirmed patients is closed.
Investigation Request: SBS, KBS, MBC
Research Institutions: Ipsos, Korea Research, Korea Research
Survey Date: March 1 – 2, 2022
Target: 2,003 men and women 18 years of age or older nationwide (gender/age ·Wireless virtual number extraction after region allocation)
Survey method: Wireless phone interview
response rate: 24.9% (2,003 people were successfully surveyed by talking to a total of 8,037 people)
Weighting method: Weighted by gender, age, and region (cell weighted/end of January 2022 Based on the resident registration population of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security)
Sample error: ±2.2%p (95% confidence level)
For more information, see the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee or SBS website.Keywords: