Presidential polls 2022: Macron up sharply, Pécresse falls?

While the presidential election will take place on April 10 and 24, 2022, the war in Ukraine is interfering in the campaign and reshuffling the cards for all candidates.

Less than forty days before the first round, we have aggregated for you the results of the polls carried out over the last fortnight by different institutes: 

and 

.

The graphs in this article allow you to view a summary of voting intentions in the first and second rounds by institute and by opposition scenario in the second round.

Voting intentions in the first round of the 2022 presidential election

Emmanuel Macron, who should have entered the campaign during a first meeting this Saturday, March 5 in Marseille, sees the formalization of his candidacy delayed by international news.

However, he has seen his lead in the polls climb in recent days, gaining 3 to 4 points of voting intention according to

and

.

At the same time, Valérie Pécresse continues her fall in the polls and regresses to 11% of voting intentions according to

, her lowest level since her nomination as a Republican candidate on December 4, 2021.

In this same Harris-Interactive poll, Jean-Luc Mélenchon returns for the first time since September 27, 2021 in front of the Republican candidate, with 12.5% ​​of voting intentions in favor of the candidate of France Insoumise.

In the fight for second place and qualification in the second round, Marine Le Pen seems to maintain a slight advantage over Eric Zemmour.

The Rassemblement National candidate has a lead of two and a half points according to

, and only one point according to the latest statement from

.

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Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Marine Le Pen

The second-round tendencies between Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen are relatively stable, in the event that these two candidates qualify.

The outgoing president would win according to the latest statements from the main pollsters, with a lead of between 8 and 12 points.

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Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Valérie Pécresse

Although losing momentum in the race for qualification in the second round, Valérie Pécresse stabilizes her gap in the event of a second round against Emmanuel Macron.

and

each attribute 44% of voting intentions to it.

On the other hand, the candidate of the Republicans would collect only 40.5% of the votes according to the last statement of

.

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Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Eric Zemmour

If Eric Zemmour found himself up against Emmanuel Macron in the second round of the presidential election, he would have a dim hope of winning, according to the latest readings from

and

.

Indeed, he is credited with respectively 37 and 38% of the voting intentions, which makes him the least well-positioned candidate of the trio he forms with Valérie Pécresse and Marine Le Pen.

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Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron against Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Following its rise in the race to qualify for the second round,

published a poll on February 28 on a possible Mélenchon-Macron duel in the second round.

The candidate of France Insoumise remains far behind the current president, collecting only 37% of voting intentions, a stable figure since the last statements published in November 2021.

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By default, we show you the latest polls published by Harris-Interactive.

By clicking on the drop-down menu below, you can view the results according to other institutes.

For more on the polls featured here, check out our sources below:​

• OpinionWay

• Ifop-Fiducial 

• Harris-Interactive

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• Presidential election 2022

• Elections

• Jean-Luc Melenchon

• Emmanuel Macron

• Eric Zemmour

• Marine Le Pen

• 2022 Presidential Polls

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