The PP would achieve a victory by the minimum and would have the Government within reach with Vox

• Direct Latest news of the elections in Castilla y León

The PP is on a knife edge.

poll

for EL MUNDO predicts a very tight result of the elections.

The

ones win at the polls, but by the minimum with 32.4% of the votes and between 30 and 32 seats.

Alfonso Fernández Mañueco could govern again with Vox, a party from which he would need all of his seats to achieve an absolute majority.

The formation headed by Juan García-Gallardo the survey gives 14.7% of the ballots and between 10 and 12 prosecutors.

Thus, PP and Vox together in the best scenario would comfortably exceed the majority -44 seats-, while in the lower part of the bracket they would be left with one.

The PSOE obtains 31.2% of the votes and between 28 and 30 prosecutors.

His only chance of forming a government would happen in the best of cases by joining all the small formations as long as all of them reached the best prognosis given by the poll.

United We Can, with 7.1% of the votes, obtains between two and three attorneys.

Ciudadanos sinks completely and only achieves a prosecutor.

and

win three seats each, while

maintains its current seat.

Sigma dos Castilla y Leon February 13

The Sigma Dos tracking survey for EL MUNDO has been carried out over the last two weeks until the day of reflection.

According to the survey, the PP improves its 2019 result by between one and three prosecutors, while the PSOE loses between five and seven seats.

Vox, for its part, makes a spectacular leap, as all the polls have predicted throughout the campaign, and goes from having a single representative to having between 10 and 12.

With this forecast, and considering that PP and Vox are in the upper band of the fork, Fernández Mañueco will reissue government depending on the radical right-wing formation that will foreseeably claim to enter the new Castilian-Leon Executive.

Thus, the electoral advance decided by the PP will imply a shift to the right in the governability of the largest autonomous community in

.

In the last two years, the

have chaired the

hand in hand with Citizens.

The possibilities of the socialist candidate, Luis Tudanca, are limited to reaching the highest level of seats predicted by the poll -30- and getting the entire range of small forces to support him: United We Can, Citizens, UPL, XAV and Soria Ya.

This is a difficult equation -XAV is a split from the PP- in which all the seats would be essential.

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