Direct Last minute about the 13-F elections
Appointment with the polls The countryside and 23 cities decide today Spanish politics
Forecast A low participation becomes the great risk for the PP
Participation in the regional elections in Castilla y León stood at
34.73%
at
2:00 p.m.
, which is
2.15 points less
than that achieved in the 2019 elections, as announced by
Ángel Ibáñez
, Minister of the Presidency during his appearance.
In 2019, at the same time, 36.89% of the electorate had voted, that is, 723,249 people, compared to the 671,917 who have come this Sunday to exercise their right.
The participation figure at 2:00 p.m. seems key in these elections, to the point that some demographic experts have predicted that at this time it could be guessed who is going to govern Castilla y León until the next autonomous appointment.
The president of
GAD3
,
Narciso Michavila
, predicted a few days ago that if the turnout dropped below 33% at 2:00 p.m., there could be a left-wing government, even with the hypothesis that the PSOE is not the party with the most votes at the close of the polls. .
"The certainty is so clear that all the parties will know at 2:00 p.m. who is going to govern. If the participation drops below 33% at that time, it means that a shift to the left is very likely," Michavila said last Thursday, in an interview on the Cope network.
In his opinion, the left-wing electorate, both from the United We Can and the Socialists, as well as their possible partners in the government of
Empty Spain,
"are very activated", compared to the majority electorate of the PP in Castilla y León.
Miguel de la Fuente
, director of Studies at
Sigma Dos
, points in the same direction: a lower turnout harms the
popular
: "A low turnout, as a result of a lower motivation of the conservative vote, benefits the PSOE in principle. Below the 60% participation, PP and Vox could have difficulties adding enough attorneys, but it will also depend on how that drop is distributed.
In 2019, the participation was 65.8% for the autonomous communities and 71% for the municipal ones, since both votes coincided on the same day.
81 attorneys in contention
Before knowing the data for 2:00 p.m., the
Junta de Castilla y León
has provided the first advance of participation, at 11:30 a.m., which has stood at 11.31%, which means that 218,721 people have attended these hours at the polling stations.
This data cannot be compared with any previous electoral process, since it is the first time that the number of said recount is offered in an election in this community.
Today, 2,094,490 Castilian-Leonese have been called to the polls to elect the 81 attorneys who will make up the Cortes of Castilla y León.
Of these, 1,934,411 reside in the community and 160,079 outside Castilla y León, while 51,755 voters will be able to exercise their right to vote for the first time.
This Sunday's are the first elections in the history of the community in which they are held alone, without coinciding with the municipal or regional elections of 13 other communities with which they historically shared election day.
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