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Today (18th), we will tell you about the results of the opinion poll we conducted 50 days before the presidential election.

It was found that Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung and People's Strength candidate Yoon Seok-yeol are fighting again within the margin of error.



Reporter Hwa Kang-yoon reports.



<Reporter>



I asked who you would vote for in the March presidential election.



Democratic Party Lee Jae-myung 32.9%, People's Strength candidate Yoon Seok-yeol 31.6%, the gap is 1.3 percentage points, within the margin of error.



Sim Sang-jung of the Justice Party was 2.7 percent, and Ahn Cheol-soo of the People's Party was 12.7 percent.




Comparing with the SBS poll at the end of last month, Candidate Lee fell by 2 percentage points and Candidate Yoon rose by 5.6 percentage points.



In the 'probability of election' category, Lee Jae-myung took the lead with 50.7% and Yoon Seok-yeol 36%.




If two opposition candidates, Seok-Yeol Yoon and Cheol-Soo Ahn, are united, we asked which candidate would be more suitable to unite them.



Seok-Yeol Yoon was 33.9% and Cheol-Soo Ahn 50.8%.




Even in the middle class, 60.4% of candidates chose Ahn, and 68.6% of Lee Jae-myung's supporters with the largest number of responses supported Ahn.



If the two candidates succeeded in unification, it was investigated that if candidate Yoon became a single candidate in the virtual match, it would compete with candidate Lee Jae-myung within the margin of error.



When asked whether these hypothetical scenarios could be realized, the highest response was 58.3%, saying that it would not be easy to unify due to the difference in positions between candidates.



In terms of favorability by candidate, Ahn Cheol-soo was the only candidate to exceed 50%, followed by Lee Jae-myung, Yoon Seok-yeol, and Shim Sang-jung.




This survey was commissioned by SBS and Nextresearch, an opinion polling agency, and 1,04 voters across the country received responses through wired and wireless telephone interview surveys from the 15th to the 16th, and the sample error is ±3.1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.


<Survey Overview>


Investigation Request: SBS


Research Institution: Next Research


Date and Time: January 15-16, 2022


Survey Target: 1,04 men and women 18 years of age or older nationwide (wired RDD and wireless Virtual number extraction)


Survey method: Wired/wireless telephone interview survey (wireless 86%, landline 14%)


Response rate: 19.1% (1,4 people contacted 5,251, and 1,4 people succeeded)


Weighting method: Weighted values ​​by gender, age, and region Buyeo (cell weighted/based on the resident registration population of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security at the end of December 2021)


Sample error: ±3.1%p (95% confidence level)


▶ Go to the poll statistics table