With 3 points gained since the previous study carried out two weeks ago by this new institute, the outgoing president, who has not yet officially announced his candidacy, prances at the top of the poll with 23% of the voting intentions.

He is ahead of three right-wing and far-right rivals who are in a pocket handkerchief: Ms. Pécresse gives up 1 point to 15%, tied for second with Eric Zemmour who wins 1. Just behind them, Ms. Le Pen stands at 14.5% of voting intentions, after gaining 1.5 points in two weeks.

With 13% of the voting intentions, the LFI Jean-Luc Mélenchon is just behind this trio after having gained one point since the previous poll.

The leader of the rebels, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, during the debate on the vaccine pass at the National Assembly, January 3, 2022 STEPHANE DE SAKUTIN AFP

None of the other left-wing candidates hit the 5% mark.

After bursting into 7% of voting intentions in the previous poll which had measured for the first time her potential candidacy, Christiane Taubira lost 2.5 points to 4.5%.

She is slightly ahead of the ecologist Yannick Jadot at 4% (-1), the socialist Anne Hidalgo (2%), Arnaud Montebourg (1.5%) and the communist Fabien Roussel (1.5%), all three unchanged since two weeks.

Created in November 2021 and composed of academics, statisticians and employees of the research and communication sector, Cluster17 has developed a methodological approach which "is based on a segmentation of French society into 16 homogeneous groups", called "clusters ", can we read on his site.

Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of the outcome of the ballot.

They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey.

Christiane Taubira on January 31, 2017 in Paris JOEL SAGET AFP / Archives

Survey carried out via a self-administered online questionnaire from December 27 to 31, 2021, with 2,252 people registered on the electoral rolls from a sample of 2,402 people representative of the French population aged 18 and over, according to the method of quotas.

Margin of error between 0.9 and 2.1 percentage points.

© 2022 AFP