Some see it as psychological warfare.. Do the Iranians take threats of an Israeli attack seriously?

Tehran -

In conjunction with the nuclear talks between Iran and world powers in Vienna, Israel's efforts are continuing to exert maximum pressure on Tehran in order to disrupt its nuclear project.

According to media sources, Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz briefed officials in the US administration on the timetable that the occupying power needs in order to launch an attack on Iran.

According to the website of the Hebrew newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth, Gantz told Washington that he had directed his army to prepare for an attack on Iran, in the context of Israel doubling its pressure on the United States not to return to the 2015 nuclear agreement, and tightening its economic sanctions on Tehran.

According to experts, with the gradual expansion of Iran's nuclear program and its progress in enriching uranium by 60%, and the expectation that Iran's future enrichment capacity will reach 90% (which is enough to make a nuclear bomb), the risk of a military confrontation may extend to the entire region.

This also comes in light of reports of difficult and discouraging talks in Vienna.

Hussein Kanaani Moghadam believes that Israel is waging a psychological war in line with America's policy in the Vienna talks (communication sites)

Psychological

Hussein Kanaani Moghadam, a former strategist and leader in the Revolutionary Guards, believes that what Israel is doing now is a psychological war in line with the US policy that it is pursuing in conjunction with the nuclear talks in Vienna. "I don't see any value in responding to this psychological war," he said.

In his interview with Al Jazeera Net, Moghadam believes that Israel is not seeking a direct military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, because that would lead to a large-scale global war.

He says that "the Zionist regime is more interested in sabotage and persecution than in launching a war. It is true that it encourages the United States to launch a military strike on Iran, but it is unlikely to happen."

cyber attack

According to analysts, while the Israelis continue their traditional policy of cyber (electronic) attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities, their other model will be the formation of alliances with countries in the region to create new security challenges for Iran.

And political analyst and expert on the Middle East and West Asia, Jaafar Qanad Bashi, believes that "Iran never ignores the enemy and its military threats, and is doing its best to prepare the necessary at the level of the rival enemy."

Qand Bashi said in his interview with Al Jazeera Net, that the Israelis are interested in presenting themselves as advanced and superior, and they see it as a kind of defense of their position, "so we do not take this propaganda seriously in the political arena," and their recognition of this is evidence that: the "maximum pressure" approach. On Iran, as well as the methodology of "death by a thousand stabs" has failed.

And Qand Bashi added that Israel is a country against which many decisions are issued on the international scene every year, and if the Israelis fire bullets at Iran, the world will stand in solidarity with Tehran, as it stood with Australia before Britain, and with Gaza and the Islamic resistance (Hamas) in the recent Israeli wars against the Palestinians , as he put it.

Share with others

According to experts, the majority of generals in the Israeli army's staff are against war with Iran, but if Israel receives support and others participate in the war, it is likely to seize the opportunity and enter the battle.

The former political deputy of the Quds Force of the Revolutionary Guards, Rahim Layali, says that the Israeli threats constitute a flagrant violation of Article 2 of the United Nations Charter.

"Given the dark history of the Zionist entity in attacking countries in the region, the threats require an appropriate response from the international community."

“We reserve the natural right to defend ourselves, and we will respond decisively to any threat or violation by the occupation,” adds Layali.

Regarding the scenario in the event of a conventional war between the two sides, Layali explains to Al Jazeera Net, "We can say that Israel will receive severe blows that will push it to the brink of destruction due to its small geography, the size of the missiles that Iran and its allies will launch, as well as the different firing distances between them, which extends from the Israeli border in Lebanon and Syria to the depths of Iranian territory.

The Iranian official estimates that it is unlikely that Israel's missile defense system will be able to counter all Iranian missiles.

Layali, quoting the Israeli Channel Seven, points out that "Israel is surrounded by about 200,000 different missiles capable of reaching it, and it cannot produce large quantities of an arsenal capable of intercepting this quantity of missiles."

An Iranian nuclear plant (Al-Jazeera)

nuclear break-off point

On the other hand, political analyst Ahmed Zaidabadi believes that the Israelis are pursuing a complex policy, and are not seeking to solve the Iranian issue and reach the nuclear agreement, because they are exploiting the lack of agreement to raise tension in the region.

But Ebadi believes that if there is a will in Iran to reduce the nuclear break-up point (the time between possession of a nuclear weapon), and if it wants to build a bomb, the Israelis will certainly not ignore it, and they will use any means to prevent this from happening even if its probability is only 1%.

According to Abadi, the Israelis are afraid of confrontation with Iran and the forces loyal to it, but if they can prevent the missiles from reaching Israel by 90% or 95%, and Iran has also reached the point of nuclear separation, the probability of a military strike will be high.