Among Marine Le Pen, Xavier Bertrand, Eric Zemmour, Anne Hidalgo, Yannick Jadot or Emmanuel Macron: all have not yet officially declared their candidacy, but they have all expressed desire to succeed the current President of the Republic .

Find a summary of the surveys commissioned by the 

Harris Interactive, Ipsos, Ifop-Fiducial


Elable institutes


For several weeks, the latter have been making available statements of voting intentions that we use to feed the various graphs above and allow you to follow the latest trends a few months before the first round.

Voting intentions in the first round of the 2022 presidential election

Status quo in recent weeks regarding voting intentions for the first round.

Emmanuel Macron remains largely in the lead and hovers around 23% of voting intentions according to

Harris Interactive.

Nevertheless, in the struggle of the far right for qualification in the second round, Marine Le Pen made a remarkable breakthrough and returned for the first time since the end of September in front of Eric Zemmour.

Xavier Bertrand, on the assumption that he would be the candidate of the right, still stagnates at 14% in fourth position.

Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron vs Marine Le Pen

In the event of a remake of the second round of the 2017 ballot, Emmanuel Macron would widen the gap with the candidate of the National Rally in recent weeks, and see his lead go from 6 to ten points according to the latest




Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron vs Xavier Bertrand

The gaps between the outgoing president and the potential candidate of the right and of the Republicans Xavier Bertrand remains relatively small, but Emmanuel Macron retains the advantage according to the latest polls from





Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron vs Eric Zemmour

In recent weeks, Emmanuel Macron has seen his progress against Eric Zemmour increase.

The outgoing president would be credited with nearly 60% of the vote share according to


and even 65% according to


, a considerable advantage of 30 points.

Second round hypothesis: Emmanuel Macron vs Valérie Pécresse

If Valérie Pécresse found herself opposed to the outgoing president in the second round, she would only be credited with 42 to 43% of voting intentions according to 

Harris Interactive,

a figure that has remained stable in recent weeks.

Second round hypothesis: Jean-Luc Mélenchon vs Emmanuel Macron

Finally, in the event of a duel between the candidate of France Insoumise and Emmanuel Macron, Jean-Luc Mélenchon would be significantly behind schedule, he who only collected 36% of voting intentions in the second round on November 15, according to



To learn more about the polls featured here, check out our sources below:

  • Elable 

  • Harris-Interactive

  • Ifop-Fiducial 

  • Ipsos

  • Emmanuel Macron

  • Survey

  • Elections

  • Presidential polls 2022

  • Presidential election 2022

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