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by Paolo Cappelli

22 October 2021

Germany could have a new government led by Olaf Sholz at the beginning of December, headlines Welt today, while in Brussels Angela Merkel is the absolute protagonist for the last time at the European council.

Fighting the pandemic, energy transition, the issues laid out on the table but then, this week, the grain of Poland exploded. 


Merkel is once again trying to mediate with Warsaw and her call for caution is a bit of the political legacy left to a Europe that is wondering about the future and about the reasons for being together.



FT


The debate on rates ignites as inflation points to 5%, says the chief economist at the Central Bank of England.



UK inflation is likely to rise "near or even slightly above 5%" early next year, Bank of England's new chief economist Hew Pill warned and the bank as early as November. Central could make a "real-time" decision on raising interest rates. Inflation has been rising rapidly for much of 2021 due to the strong economic recovery from the coronavirus crisis, rising energy prices and disruption of the global supply chain. "I wouldn't be shocked let's put it this way if we see inflation close to or above 5% in the coming months," Pill said - and this is a very uncomfortable place for a central bank with a 2% inflation target. "


Financial markets are betting on a BoE interest rate hike as early as next month, spurred on by Governor Andrew Bailey's comments over the weekend that the central bank should "act" to curb inflation.



Merkel tries to mediate


Angela Merkel is in Brussels for what is likely to be her last European Council and has urged European partners to be cautious in the dispute with Poland. It's a typical position of Angela Merkel's 16 years as a bridge architect in the EU - leaving questions about the future, who will be the EU mediator when she leaves the political scene. The German chancellor said member states must find ways to "get back together", just when they disagree on how to deal with the Polish constitutional court's ruling that key parts of EU law are incompatible with the Polish constitution. a direct challenge to the legal order of the Union which raised questions about the future of Poland in the EU. "A cascade of legal disputes brought before the European Court of Justice is not the solution, "Merkel said before the Brussels summit began.



The EU fears the loss of the bridge builder, Angela Merkel while some prominent figures of the rising traffic light majority in Germany emphasize the continuity with the Merkel era in foreign policy, some want a less soft, more decisive line, both towards Russia both towards China and on the issue of respect for the rule of law in the eastern EU countries.



Die Presse


Poland threatens to break up the EU.


Brussels. Energy crisis, migratory pressure, elimination of the rule of law in Poland: Angela Merkel's 107th and last European Council has brought more problems than ever to the outgoing German Chancellor. Although he tried in advance to take the Polish crisis off the agenda, this was the first topic that the 27 heads of state and government had to address. Mateusz Morawiecki, the Polish prime minister, unreasonably complained about an alleged "blackmail". Merkel still hopes for a solution in the dialogue, and she is not alone: ​​"It would be a pity to give up only when it comes to money," said the head of the Luxembourg government, Xavier Bettel. Much has been written about the Angela Merkel era in recent weeks,in one respect most of these portraits of the German Chancellor overlap: his maxim is to avoid or defuse conflicts, where possible he has depoliticized political conflicts. But this is also the cause of the problems of the EU, which after Merkel's 16 years is ripe for a new phase.



The Economist


An October Revolution.


Finally a backlash against bad governance in Eastern Europe.


Corruption, autocracy, overbearing government - these were the dangers that many hoped Eastern Europe was leaving when its nascent democracies joined the European Union in the early 2000s. Instead, the rest of Europe now has something to worry about. the eastern countries simply smuggled these vices into the EU. One of the biggest culprits is Poland. First the Warsaw government filled its Constitutional Court with complacent judges and then made them decree that the Polish constitution can override the European treaties, an assault on a fundamental principle of the Union. Longtime Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has intimidated Hungarian political opponents, media critics and homosexuals, among others. Now there are signs of awakening from the EU.



FAZ


European leaders insist on hard line with Poland.


European Council President Charles Michel even wanted to avoid a debate on Poland. However, several capitals had reported in recent days that the topic could not be ignored. Dutchman Mark Rutte arrived in Brussels with a mandate from his parliament to raise the case. "We have to be tough," he said upon arrival. "The independence of the judiciary is fundamental and is not negotiable". Rutte explicitly supported the blocking of European aid to Poland. "It is very difficult he said - to open a big new pot of money until Poland recognizes the primacy of European law." Alexander De Croo, the Belgian prime minister, also said it was "a good thing" that the funds were frozen. "You can't be a member of the club and then not follow the rules that apply to everyone. "


The only head of government who defended Morawiecki publicly before the European council is Viktor Orbán, who spoke of a "witch hunt" against Poland.

"Poland is a good country, the best in Europe", said Orbán, it has "the best economy, democracy asserts itself, the elections are fair - what's the problem?".



Gazeta


Interview with the leader of the European People's Party Manfred Weber: this is not a conflict between Warsaw and Brussels, but between Poland and the other member countries of the Union, which are concerned about the independence of the judiciary and the rule of law in Poland .

Only Vladimir Putin is satisfied with Poland's current conduct.







Erdogan's

Welt

Warning to the West


Turkish President Erdogan wants to expel ten Western ambassadors and is once again trying to cover up his country's internal problems with external conflicts.

The West will likely ignore the threat.

However, an appropriate answer should be different.



Scholz is expected to become chancellor in early December.



TAZ


The battle for the cash register.


It is tougher than ostentatious harmony in the negotiations to create the traffic light coalition.

Christian Lindner and Robert Halbech discuss the Ministry of Finance, both convinced that whoever wins it will affect the course of the next government.





NYT


Haiti terrorized by armed gangs, they worry about the alliances that armed criminal groups are forging to confront the weak and poorly equipped Haitian police. According to some estimates, gangs control about half of Port-au-Prince and its suburbs.



Vaccination requirement for municipal employees in NYC if they do not want to lose their salary. 


New York City has taken one of its most aggressive steps to date to increase vaccination rates in a city that was once the epicenter of the pandemic, requiring nearly all members of the country's largest municipal workforce to get vaccinated by the end. of the month or they will lose their paychecks.


The obligation decided by the outgoing mayor Bill De Blasio aims to convince thousands of municipal workers who have resisted so far to be vaccinated before winter. At least 46,000 police officers, firefighters and other workers in the city have not yet received the vaccine, and the requirement could lead to staff shortages at a time when the city is still recovering from the pandemic and as shootings have increased. "We have to save lives and we do it with vaccinations," said De Blasio, a Democrat with less than three months left in office. "My goal is to put an end to the Covid era once and for all. It can be done, but only if we continue to insist".New York is one of the first major American cities to require vaccination for its entire municipal workforce without a test option. San Francisco has established an obligation for its 35,000 employees, which goes into effect on November 1, and Los Angeles and Chicago have been pushing public workers to get vaccinated. Among the states, Washington and Massachusetts require the vaccine from their state employees. In NYC, the vaccination requirement beginning November 1 will apply to 160,000 city employees. The city has more than 300,000 workers, but nearly half are already vaccinated. The unions of police officers and other civil servants in New York City have promised to fight the obligation and are calling on De Blasio to negotiate by otherwise threatening legal action.San Francisco has established an obligation for its 35,000 employees, which goes into effect on November 1, and Los Angeles and Chicago have been pushing public workers to get vaccinated. Among the states, Washington and Massachusetts require the vaccine from their state employees. In NYC, the vaccination requirement beginning November 1 will apply to 160,000 city employees. The city has more than 300,000 workers, but nearly half are already vaccinated. The unions of police officers and other civil servants in New York City have promised to fight the obligation and are calling on De Blasio to negotiate by otherwise threatening legal action.San Francisco has established an obligation for its 35,000 employees, which goes into effect on November 1, and Los Angeles and Chicago have been pushing public workers to get vaccinated. Among the states, Washington and Massachusetts require the vaccine from their state employees. In NYC, the vaccination requirement beginning November 1 will apply to 160,000 city employees. The city has more than 300,000 workers, but nearly half are already vaccinated. The unions of police officers and other civil servants in New York City have promised to fight the obligation and are calling on De Blasio to negotiate by otherwise threatening legal action.Washington and Massachusetts require the vaccine from their state employees. In NYC, the vaccination requirement beginning November 1 will apply to 160,000 city employees. The city has more than 300,000 workers, but nearly half are already vaccinated. The unions of police officers and other civil servants in New York City have promised to fight the obligation and are calling on De Blasio to negotiate by otherwise threatening legal action.Washington and Massachusetts require the vaccine from their state employees. In NYC, the vaccination requirement beginning November 1 will apply to 160,000 city employees. The city has more than 300,000 workers, but nearly half are already vaccinated. The unions of police officers and other civil servants in New York City have promised to fight the obligation and are calling on De Blasio to negotiate by otherwise threatening legal action.obligation and ask De Blasio to negotiate otherwise threatening legal action.obligation and ask De Blasio to negotiate otherwise threatening legal action.




From the editorial staff




Clarin (Argentina) 



USA / Mexico: migratory wave at the border does not subside and arrests reach historical records



For the American newspaper The Washington Post, according to data in a report, more than 1.7 million immigrants have been arrested in the last year at the border between the United States and Mexico, a figure never seen before.

About 977,000 immigrants were intercepted between 2019 and 30 September 2021, far exceeding the highest number recorded in recent years.  



Of that figure, and in the same period, more than 930,000 illegal immigrants were however expelled due to the law in force, called Title 42, requiring repatriation, with the excuse also of covid-19, to the vast majority of immigrants and asylum seekers. 



But the figure went crazy after Joe Biden's arrival in the White House, causing a migration crisis at the border that had called into question the Democratic president's policy of offering a more "humane" welcome policy. 



The massive arrival of immigrants has put the government in serious trouble and unleashed a wave of criticism from Republicans, who blame the Democrats for suspending Trump's measures that, in their opinion, kept migration flows in check. However, immigrants 'and asylum seekers' rights defenders are very disappointed by the action of the Biden administration, which uses the controversial Title 42 (already applied by Trump in March 2020) in an attempt to seal the US border with Mexico; and also for not having done, in his opinion, enough to definitively overturn the program of the Migrant Protection Protocol (MPP), also known as "Quedate en Mexico", which forced about 70.000 asylum seekers to remain on Mexican territory while their cases are resolved in the United States.


mk.ru



A "puppet"



leads the

Taliban delegation in Moscow

It is useless to conduct negotiations with them


On October 20, the Taliban arrived in Moscow for talks. The Taliban delegation is led by the second deputy prime minister of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, Abdul Salam Hanafi. The situation in the country and the formation of an inclusive government are on the agenda. Naimi Ahmad Shoaib, originally from Panjshir province, economist and supporter of the Afghan National Resistance Front, spoke about why these negotiations should not be taken seriously and why the head of the delegation does not decide anything. The head of the delegation, Abdul Salam Hanafi, is of Uzbek ethnicity. In the 1990s he was Deputy Minister of Education in the Taliban government. Then he became, so to speak, one of the symbols of the Taliban group, as the ceremonial general. By sending this person to Moscow,the Taliban want to show the world community that they cooperate with different ethnic groups: Uzbeks, Tajiks and others living in Afghanistan. In fact, all power is in the hands of the Haqqani family. For example, one of the members of the Haqqani clan now holds the post of interior minister. The head of the delegation who arrived in Moscow, Abdul Salam Hanafi, recently had a meeting with representatives of the Hazara. They came to him with complaints about the Taliban, who expelled people living in different provinces from their homes. Hanafi honestly admitted that he was helpless in this matter, he could not do anything. He advised to seek help from Interior Minister Sirajuddin Haqqani or to speak to one of the Pashtuns. From this it can be concluded that the Taliban do not take the figure of Hanafi seriously.And they don't take the negotiations taking place in Moscow seriously. Otherwise they would have sent a more serious person as part of the delegation who has the authority to resolve some issues. So the delegation looming in Moscow has no influence on the Taliban, and its leader is just a "puppet". It is announced that the central theme of the event will be an inclusive state. Perhaps Russia expects the Taliban to act in this direction. But talking to the representatives of this delegation is useless. These issues should be resolved directly with Pakistan, which supports the Taliban, or with the Haqqani group. But they are unlikely to go to negotiations.Otherwise they would have sent a more serious person as part of the delegation who has the authority to resolve some issues. So the delegation looming in Moscow has no influence on the Taliban, and its leader is just a "puppet". It is announced that the central theme of the event will be an inclusive state. Perhaps Russia expects the Taliban to act in this direction. But talking to the representatives of this delegation is useless. These issues should be resolved directly with Pakistan, which supports the Taliban, or with the Haqqani group. But they are unlikely to go to negotiations.Otherwise they would have sent a more serious person as part of the delegation who has the authority to resolve some issues. So the delegation looming in Moscow has no influence on the Taliban, and its leader is just a "puppet". It is announced that the central theme of the event will be an inclusive state. Perhaps Russia expects the Taliban to act in this direction. But talking to the representatives of this delegation is useless. These issues should be resolved directly with Pakistan, which supports the Taliban, or with the Haqqani group. But they are unlikely to go to negotiations.It is announced that the central theme of the event will be an inclusive state. Perhaps Russia expects the Taliban to act in this direction. But talking to the representatives of this delegation is useless. These issues should be resolved directly with Pakistan, which supports the Taliban, or with the Haqqani group. But they are unlikely to go to negotiations.It is announced that the central theme of the event will be an inclusive state. Perhaps Russia expects the Taliban to act in this direction. But talking to the representatives of this delegation is useless. These issues should be resolved directly with Pakistan, which supports the Taliban, or with the Haqqani group. But they are unlikely to go to negotiations.