2022: Le Pen at 16%, Zemmour between 13 and 14%, according to a survey - France 24

Paris (AFP)

Marine Le Pen, given a sharp decline in 16% of voting intentions, is followed by Eric Zemmour, who prolongs the suspense over his candidacy for the presidential election (13 to 14%), according to a Harris Interactive poll published on Tuesday

In this 15th wave of the Harris Interactive barometer for Challenges, the head of the National Gathering, declared candidate for the Elysée, continues to decline, compared to previous waves which gave her 28% at the beginning of June, and another 24% at the end of August.

According to this study, she is threatened by Eric Zemmour, an omnipresent polemicist in the media with very right-wing positions and who no longer makes a secret of his desire to run for president in April 2022.

If Xavier Bertrand or Valérie Pécresse will represent the traditional right, it is given at 13% in the first round and even at 14% if it is Michel Barnier who obtains the nomination of LR.

Marine Le Pen is at 16% in all three cases.

Emmanuel Macron would obtain between 23 and 26% of the voting intentions.

In the second round, Mr. Macron would be re-elected with 54% of the vote, the total of Ms. Le Pen (46%) remaining stable, in the same range since March (between 45 and 47%).

On the right, Xavier Bertrand (14%) would be ahead of Valérie Pécresse (12%) and Michel Barnier (8%).

On the left, LFI leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon would get 13% of the vote, socialist Anne Hidalgo 7% and environmentalist Yannick Jadot 6%, far ahead of Arnaud Montebourg (2%).

Mr. Zemmour has continued to grow since September 8, when his candidacy was first tested (7%).

Two-thirds of potential voters for Mr. Zemmour (66%) would rally to Ms. Le Pen in the second round, against 7% to Emmanuel Macron and 27% of blank, null or abstention votes.

These unexpressed votes would be in the majority among the voters of MM.

Jadot (64%), Bertrand (53%) and Mélenchon (50%) in the first round.

Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of the outcome of the ballot.

They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey.

Survey carried out online from September 24 to 27 with a sample of 1,379 people representative of the French population aged 18 and over, including 1,048 registered on the electoral roll, according to the quota method.

Margin of error for voting intentions between 1.4 and 3.1 points.

© 2021 AFP