Chinanews client, September 23. The results of a study on the origin of the new crown pneumonia epidemic based on big data modeling and analysis released by the Chinese Academy of Sciences preprint platform (ChinaXiv) on the 22nd showed that the United States is more likely to have a new crown pneumonia epidemic in September 2019. It has become popular around the month.
The results of the study show that for the 12 states in the northeastern United States, the 50% probability of the first case of the new crown pneumonia epidemic is mostly between August and October 2019, and the earliest is April 26, 2019 in Rhode Island, and the latest is April 26, 2019. It was November 30, 2019 in Delaware, which was earlier than the officially announced date of the first confirmed case in the United States, January 20, 2020.
The date of the first 50% infection in Wuhan, China was December 20, 2019, and the date of the first 50% infection in Zhejiang Province, China was December 23, 2019.
Based on this inference, there is a high probability that China's new crown pneumonia epidemic will begin to spread in late December 2019.
The editor has sorted out the timeline of the origin of the new crown pneumonia epidemic in China and the United States ↓↓↓ (Jiang Li)