[Poll] Lee Jae-myung 27.8% Yoon Seok-yeol 19.3% Hong Jun-pyo 12.6% Lee Nak-yeon 9.8%

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SBS conducted a poll six months before the next presidential election. First, Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung had the highest preference for presidential candidates, followed by former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol, Assemblyman Hong Jun-pyo, and former Democratic Party leader Lee Nak-yeon. Most of the results of the one-on-one virtual match between these four candidates were within the margin of error.

First news, this is reporter Han Se-hyun.

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I asked who they would vote for in the March election next year.

Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung 27.8%, former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol 19.3%, Hong Joon-pyo 12.6%, and former Democratic Party leader Lee Nak-yeon 9.8% were surveyed.

The gap between this branch and former President Yoon is 8.5 percentage points, which is outside the margin of error.

Former Assemblyman Yoo Seung-min 2.5%, former Auditor General Choi Jae-hyeong 2.2%, People's Party Chairman Ahn Cheol-soo 1.9%, former Justice Minister Choo Mi-ae 1.6%, and Rep. Shim Sang-jeong 1.4%, while other presidential contenders such as Jeong Se-kyun, Won Hee-ryong and Park Yong-jin were below 1%.

Compared to last month's SBS survey, Assemblyman Hong and Governor Lee rose 5.6% and 4.6% points, respectively, while former President Yoon and former CEO Lee fell 2.4% and 0.8% points, respectively.

I have attached a one-on-one virtual match between the opposition parties.

In the case of 'Lee Jae-myung vs. Yoon Seok-yeol', a close battle was expected with 37.8% vs. 33.1% within the margin of error.

In 'Lee Jae-myung vs. Hong Jun-pyo', this branch led by 8.7 percentage points with 38.2% versus 29.5%.

When the Democratic Party candidate changed to Lee Nak-yeon as former representative, 'Lee Nak-yeon vs. Yoon Seok-yeol' was 30% to 34.7%, within the margin of error.

'Lee Nak-yeon vs. Hong Jun-pyo' was also 30.8% versus 32.3%, which was also within the margin of error.

When asked which outcome they think would be more desirable in the next presidential election, 39.3% of re-creation of government and 51.8% of regime change answered 'replacement of government' by 12.5 percentage points.

The gap between regime 'replacement' and 're-creation' was 10.7 percentage points in the last July survey, and rose to 17.2 percentage points in August, but slightly decreased in this survey.

(Video coverage: Park Jin-ho, Video editing: Park Seon-sun, CG: Ryu Sang-su, Jo Su-in)

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Investigation Request: SBS

Investigation Agency: Next Research

Date and Time: September 6-7, 2021

Survey Subject: nationwide only 1,05 men and women 18 years of age and older (Wired RDD and wireless virtual number extraction after allocating gender, age and region)

Survey method: Wired/wireless telephone interview (wireless 85%, landline 15%)

Response rate: 19.6% (5,123

)

1,5 people were surveyed successfully)

Weighting method: Weighted by gender, age, and region (cell weighted/based on the resident registration population of the Ministry of Public Administration and Security at the end of August 2021)

Sampling error: ±3.1 percentage points (95% confidence level)

For more information, visit the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee or SBS News website.

▶ Go to SBS Opinion Poll Statistical Table 

▶ [Public Poll] Democratic Party Fit… Jae-myung Lee 36.6% Nak-yeon Lee 18.6%

▶ [Public Poll] People’s power fit… Jun-pyo Hong 27.1% Seok-yeol Yoon 22.8%