China News Service, August 26. According to the South American Overseas Chinese News Network, Brazil’s "São Paulo Pablo" published a column on August 23 entitled "China's Future Agricultural Prospects to Brazil" The "China Agricultural Outlook Report (2021-2030)" is very important to Brazil.
The columnist is Brazilian journalist Mauro Zafalon (Mauro Zafalon).
The article is excerpted as follows:
Brazil should study the new expectations of the Ministry of Agriculture of China on the production, consumption and import of agricultural products as information for the next ten years.
Mineral products, the traditional products that Brazil exports to China, may be exhausted.
However, other doors are opening, but Brazil has not yet fully developed these industries.
Lígia Dutra, Director of International Relations of the Brazilian Federation of Agriculture and Livestock (CNA), said that China issued the "China Agriculture Outlook Report (2021-2030)" in the first half of this year, which is important for Brazil. Very important, because this is China’s outlook on how the agricultural sector will develop in the next ten years.
Ligia said that the market is dynamic and will change according to current demand, but the document helps remind Brazilian domestic producers to pay attention to China's new demand and how they can prepare for the future.
Food is a safety issue for China. The Chinese document emphasizes the need to increase agricultural specialization to improve internal supply, but does not rule out the need for external complementarity.
Brazilian producers should pay attention to changes in some trends, especially two product categories that are very important to China: cereals and protein.
It is expected that China's import rate of these products will decline.
This year, China’s soybean imports are expected to be 103 million tons. At present, China is the world’s largest soybean importer, and Brazil is the largest supplier.
As the yield of soybeans per hectare continues to increase, Brazil, the United States and Argentina will release more yields to the market under the same planting area.
Corn, on the other hand, is a crop that has performed well in Brazil in recent years, but it will not have a large market in China in the next ten years.
China believes that this crop of corn is very important to the country, mainly to seek greater protein production, so it will increase domestic production.
In addition, protein export opportunities are also declining. This is an industry that Brazil has made tremendous progress in recent years.
However, China's urbanization and population income increase will create greater demand for protein.
If China manages to increase the production of pork and chicken, there will be little room for increasing beef production.
In this area, Brazil may maintain good sales to China.
Another good product for Brazil is sugar.
The domestic production of this product has a small increase in China.
By 2030, as sugar consumption increases, China's imports will also increase.
Brazil's sugar industry is also favored by several other countries that are committed to reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
These countries have added alcohol to the fuel plan, bringing a larger market to Brazil, and Brazil already has a sound plan in this industry.
Ligia believes that China's documents clearly show signs of hope to increase the diversity of imports.
With the increase in income and the pursuit of better food, China will have more room for overseas purchases of dairy products, fruits, vegetables, eggs and fish.
Forecasts are not always accurate, but they can indicate trends.Keywords: