Will the fertility rate increase significantly after the implementation of the three-child policy? Chinese official response
China News Service, Beijing, July 21 (Reporter Li Chun) In response to the issue of whether China's population fertility rate will rise significantly after the implementation of the three-child policy, Yu Xuejun, deputy director of the National Health Commission of China, said in Beijing on the 21st, The population reproduction cycle is long and there are many influencing factors.
In the short term, China hopes to release its fertility potential and ease the decline in the number of births; in the long run, the key depends on whether the active reproductive support measures can be well connected and truly implemented.
On the same day, the State Council Information Office of China held a press conference on optimizing the fertility policy to promote long-term balanced population development.
Yu Xuejun said at the meeting that in the past ten years, China's birth population and population fertility levels have fluctuated greatly.
In the sixth census in 2010, the number of people born at that time was about 16 million. During this period, China implemented the two-child policy alone and the two-child policy across the board and achieved positive results.
In 2016 and 2017, the number of births was more than 17 million, especially in 2016, which exceeded 18 million. This is also a relatively high year in the 20 years from 2000 to 2020.
After 2018, China has experienced a decline for three consecutive years, and the decline has been substantial.
Yu Xuejun pointed out that the "seven census" data show that the number of births in China in 2020 is 12 million, and the total fertility rate is 1.3.
Judging from the monitoring of births in the first half of 2021, the birth population and fertility level will still show a downward trend this year.
At the same time, the degree of population aging has further deepened, and China will continue to face the pressure of long-term balanced population development for some time to come.
The implementation of the three-child birth policy and supporting measures is aimed at preventing further decline in the birth population, promoting the realization of an appropriate fertility level, and promoting the long-term balanced development of the population.
Will China see a significant population increase after the implementation of the three-child policy?
Yu Xuejun believes that population reproduction is not the same as material reproduction. Population reproduction has a long cycle and many influencing factors. The factors involved in fertility decision-making are complex and involve all aspects.
"In the short term, we hope to release the potential of fertility and ease the decline in the birth population. From a long-term perspective, the key depends on whether the active reproductive support measures can be well connected and whether they can be implemented. Work together, actively support, and jointly promote the realization of an appropriate fertility level, promote the long-term balanced development of the population, and create a good population environment for the socialist modernization and the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation." Yu Xuejun said.
(Finish)