• The president of the Ile-de-France region has won the regional elections in Ile-de-France, but her legitimacy is dented due to the low turnout.

  • The list of the left trio led by environmentalist Julien Bayou remains far behind Valérie Pécresse, with around 34% of the vote according to various estimates.

  • The colt of Marine Le Pen, the young Jordan Bardella (26 years old), showered the hopes of his boss, doing much less than the RN at the national level (between 10 and 11% of the votes, against 20% on average in the 'Hexagon).


The outgoing president of the Ile-de-France region largely wins the battle for the regional, according to estimates, while the left-wing union list led by Julien Bayou would be eight points less than the ex-rival of Valérie Pécresse in 2015, Claude Bartolone.

Will the former minister of Nicolas Sarkozy take advantage of this fine score to launch into the presidential election?

Valérie Pécresse crushes the competition

We announced a close duel. Finally, the candidate of Libres! supported by The Republicans Valérie Pécresse crushed the competition, winning around 45% of the vote, according to various estimates (45.6% according to Ifop-Fiducial for TF1 and LCI, 44.9% according to Elabe, 46% according to Ipsos). That's a figure almost equivalent to her score in 2015, where she had 44% of the vote. This result should however be put into perspective due to the low turnout this year, with only a third of Ile-de-France residents having passed the ballot box. In 2015, more than 54% had traveled.

“To all of you, I would like to tell you that I will continue to lead the region as I have done for six years, I have been and I will be the president of all Ile-de-France residents,” commented Valérie Pécresse after these initial estimates. The outgoing president of the Ile-de-France region benefited from the same outgoing and outgoing bonus that prevailed throughout France during these elections, where the current regional presidents almost systematically won the day (except in La Réunion), according to these initial estimates.

She is leaving for a six-year term, unless ... she declares herself a candidate for the 2022 presidential election, as many of her supporters wish.

Valérie Pécresse has meanwhile evaded the question all the time, affirming in June "not to ask the question", or kicking in touch in April: "The time for the countryside has not come.

"

Even united, the left remains far behind

Mathematically, the total of their votes (12.97%, 11.07% and 10.23% or 34.27%) could claim to threaten the outgoing president of the region, who had made 36.18% in the first round. But the left-wing union list of the trio led by environmentalist Julien Bayou, allied to the candidate supported by the PS Audrey Pulvar and the LFI candidate Clémentine Autain, remains far behind Valérie Pécresse, with around 34% according to various estimates (33.6% according to Ifop and Ipsos, 34.4% according to Elabe).

The elections are not an arithmetic science, and it is likely that part of the votes of the RN and LREM were transferred to Valérie Pécresse, since these two lists would lose respectively about two points compared to their results of the first round.

This is a real setback for the left in Ile-de-France, since in 2015, the PS candidate Claude Bartolone won 42% of the vote, or eight points more.

But Julien Bayou welcomed the birth of "a great dynamic" around this gathering: "The work we started with Audrey and Clémentine has only just begun, hope is there.

"

The disappointed hopes of LREM and the RN

She had made him the spokesperson for the party, then the head of the European list in 2019, and finally the Vice-president of her party: but the colt of Marine Le Pen, the young Jordan Bardella (26 years), will have showered the hopes of his boss.

He would win only between 10 and 11% of the vote, according to estimates (11% for Ifop and Ipsos, 10% for Elabe).

That is much less than the 20% made by the RN at the national level, and in decline compared to his predecessor Wallerand de Saint-Just, who accumulated 14% in the second round.

The results of the regional in Ile-de-

Fourth on the podium, the LREM candidate would obtain less than 10% of the votes (9.8% according to Ifop, 9.10%% according to Elabe, 9.4% according to Ipsos).

This is almost three times less than the score of Emmanuel Macron locally in the 2017 presidential election in the first round (28.63%).

Laurent Saint-Martin, however, had five ministers on his lists.

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Regional results in Ile-de-France: Valérie Pécresse wins, the left-wing union list far behind

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