• The first round of regional elections in Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes showed that the Republic on the move had greatly lost its influence in Lyon.

  • The presidential majority party, knocked out by environmentalists in the last municipal elections, has failed to recover.

  • At the same time, the classic line confirms its recovery.

A snub for La République en Marche.

The results, recorded on Sunday evening during the first round of regional elections, confirm the decline of the presidential majority between Rhône and Saône.

In Lyon, considered two years ago as the capital of "Macronie", the candidate Bruno Bonnell points to 16.46%, very far behind the 32.2% of Laurent Wauquiez (LR).

He is even beaten by the ecologist Fabienne Grébert who won 22.66% of the vote.

At the scale of the metropolis of Lyon, the situation remains the same.

Here again, voters preferred to give Laurent Wauquiez a large lead (36%) by relegating Bruno Bonnell to third place (15%).

How to explain such a decline in the ballot box?

The municipal fiasco

According to political scientist Daniel Navrot, one of the explanations is linked to the municipal fiasco. Last year, Gérard Collomb and David Kimelfeld, who both wanted to keep the city of Lyon and the metropolis, had waged a fratricidal war without mercy. To finally offer a boulevard to environmentalists. “Before these elections, the family exploded to split into two camps. The Republic on the move did not resist the municipal elections. She didn't get over it, ”he observes.

From there to imagine that Laurent Wauquiez would have had a hard time if Gérard Collomb had been reappointed last summer for another term?

"We can not know, it would be political fiction, answers the political scientist.

But what is certain is that the whole framework put in place a few years ago has been swept away.

The Republic on the move, which is not a political party, could not take things in hand.

It was even unthinkable ”.

And to add: "Macronie has not completely disappeared from the political landscape but it finds itself today in a very minority situation, between the classic right and a left now led by the Greens".

The recovery of the classic right

In politics, everyone knows, everything is a matter of dynamics. And LREM is now sorely lacking. The Greens, who won the town hall and the metropolis of Lyon in 2020, confirm that they are today the first force among the left parties.

“We also observe a recovery of the classic right. We had anticipated during the municipal elections, we knew that there would be this blue crown around Lyon and Villeurbanne. The reasons are twofold. There is first a disappointment of the moderate electorate, who was tempted by the macronie and which now refers to the right, analyzes Daniel Navrot. Then there are the ideas put forward by environmentalists. They can frighten a very moderate electorate, who will turn to the right to block this triumphant left ”. And who no longer trusts the presidential majority.

One thing is certain: a victory for Laurent Wauquiez next Sunday in the second round of regional elections in Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes "would rebalance the forces present in the metropolis of Lyon", underlines Daniel Navrot.

And so could decrease the influence of environmentalists for years to come.

Politics

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Elections

Results of the regional in Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes: is Laurent Wauquiez already assured of regaining the presidency of the region?

  • Regional elections

  • Elections

  • Lyon

  • LREM