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Even before Scotland had counted all the seats in its next parliament on Saturday, Boris Johnson's loud "No" could be heard in Edinburgh.

As the British prime minister only constitutionally authorized to give the Scots a new referendum on independence, that is exactly what he will not do.

At first glance, this is an unacceptable provocation for Prime Minister Nicola Sturgeon, who presents her expected, possibly even absolute majority as a clear mandate for another referendum.

Everything else means "denying the Scots democracy," insists the head of the Scottish National Party (SNP).

In truth, however, it suits the Scottish woman that there will be no second referendum anytime soon.

Even before the pandemic, your government had serious financial problems and no plan how to achieve independence after Brexit and Corona.

75 percent of 16 to 35-year-olds who want their own state are behind Sturgeon.

But this number is not enough for Sturgeon to risk a referendum in the near future.

The polls do not see a stable majority in favor of leaving the 314-year-old union with England.

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That is why the nationalist relies on a lengthy, tough confrontation with Johnson, which nourishes the aversion of many Scots to the Tories in England.

Sturgeon is betting that Johnson, meanwhile, will not be able to fulfill his expensive promises of rapid structural reforms.

On the other hand, the consequences of Johnson's Brexit will soon be felt in Scotland, which have so far been difficult to assess due to the pandemic.

If the EU states also signal that they are accepting an independent Scotland as a member, Sturgeon's calculation could work out in the end.