• Plans by communities End of the state of alarm: restrictions from May 9 in the communities

The weather

in the coming days will offer two well differentiated faces in large areas of

Spain

because the sun will shine and temperatures will rise to their own values ​​of early summer until this Saturday, when the

state of alarm will

decline to stop the

coronavirus

, but a

deep

storm

The panorama will change as of Sunday with

widespread rains

and a

thermal drop of up to 15 degrees

that will return the atmosphere of late winter to many places.

The prediction of the

State Meteorological Agency (Aemet)

, collected by Servimedia, indicates that between this Saturday and next Monday there will be a drop of 15 degrees in

Madrid

; 14 in

Toledo

and

Zamora

; 13 in

Ávila

,

Cáceres

,

Ciudad Real

,

Cuenca

,

Guadalajara

,

León

,

Salamanca

and

Segovia

; 12 in

Badajoz

and

Córdoba

, and 11 in

Seville

.

"We are talking about a Saturday with temperatures more typical of the beginning of summer, in general, and a Monday with more typical values ​​of the end of winter. However, it should be noted that it is not strange that in spring such large oscillations occur in temperatures from one day to the next or over the course of days, "said

Rubén del Campo

, a spokesman for

Aemet

.

Among the provincial capitals, this second Saturday in May will bring forward the heat of mid-July in

Zaragoza

(33ºC),

Bilbao

(32) and

Logroño

(30); from the beginning of July in

Murcia

(33); at the end of June in

Córdoba

(33),

Jaén

(31) and

Lleida

(30), and in mid-June in

Seville

(32),

Badajoz

(31) and

Granada

and

Toledo

(30).

On the contrary, on Monday the cold or mild atmosphere of the end of February will return to

Segovia

(11),

Guadalajara

(13),

Madrid

(14) and

Toledo

(16);

from the beginning of March to

Ávila

and

León

(12),

Cuenca

and

Zamora

(14),

Cáceres

and

Ciudad Real

(16),

Ourense

(17) and

Badajoz

(19), and from mid-March to

Salamanca

(14) and

Córdoba

and

Seville

(21).

Nameless squall, for now

On the other hand, the situation called

'barometric swamp'

- that is, when the atmospheric pressure is very similar in most of Spain - will continue in the coming days, although between Thursday and Friday a storm will form in Atlantic waters the deepening of which is likely to be rapid and will move towards Ireland over the weekend.

"We can speak of an

explosive cyclogenesis

, something that will happen, anyway, far from the Iberian Peninsula," said Del Campo.

An explosive cyclogenesis is a process by which a storm deepens -that is, it intensifies very quickly- and usually gives rise to storms with a pressure difference between its center and its outer part, which can generate very strong winds and maritime storm.

What usually affects the population is the storm intensified by a process of explosive cyclogenesis, not the explosive cyclogenesis itself.

"We could assimilate these concepts with the process of cooking a dish: the cyclogenesis would be the process of cooking and the storm, the dish that we have prepared," Del Campo clarified.

The

deep storm

will not fully affect the Iberian Peninsula, but its effects will be noticeable. "First, on Saturday because it will drive south winds and cause temperatures to rise especially in the northern half and, above all, on the shores of the Cantabrian Sea, where that day will exceed 30 degrees and the risk of fires will skyrocket. Already on Sunday , a front associated with the storm will cause a marked change in the weather, with rains in large areas and a notable drop in temperatures, "said Del Campo.

The Aemet spokesman clarified that it is still "early" to know if that storm will be designated with the name of Mathieu.

"For this, it is necessary to give rise to the activation of orange warnings due to intense gusts of wind in large areas and it is still not possible to determine if this will finally happen, although today the truth is that it is unlikely," he added.

Saturday

On Saturday the slightly cloudy skies will continue in almost all of

Spain

, although in the afternoon a storm could occur in the surroundings of the

Pyrenees

and in the last hours the rain would appear in the west of

Galicia

.

The highlight will be the thermal rise in the northern third of the peninsula, which could be extraordinary in the interior of

the Basque Country

- that is, a rise of more than 10 degrees compared to Friday. "The cause? The south winds driven by the deep Atlantic storm, which reach that area overheated and dry after crossing the entire peninsula, and they get even warmer when descending the mountains that close the plateau to the north," explained Del Countryside.

Thus, there will be more than 30 degrees and strong gusts of winds from the south in areas of the interior of the Basque Country, which will increase the risk of fires.

It will also reach 30 degrees in the

Ebro valley

and 32 degrees in the

Guadiana and Guadalquivir valleys

.

"In general, the maximums will be above 25 degrees in much of the rest of the peninsula," summarized Del Campo.

Sunday

A "sudden change in weather" will arrive on Sunday, according to Del Campo, as a fairly active cold front associated with the deep Atlantic storm will arrive on the peninsula and whose center will be located that day near the western coasts of Ireland.

This cold front will give rise to general rains and showers in the western half of the peninsula, which may be strong, persistent and be accompanied by storms in

Galicia

, the extreme west of

Castilla y León

, and the north of

Extremadura

.

Rainfall will spread throughout the day to the east and could also be strong and be accompanied by a storm in the

Pyrenees

and

the Iberian System

.

Showers will be less likely - or weak, if they occur - on the

Mediterranean coast

and the

Ebro valley

.

The position of the storm, whose center will be over Ireland, will cause the winds to blow from the west and southwest, with strong gusts in much of the peninsula and gusts that could be very strong above 70 or 80 km / h at high points and coastlines of the northern half.

After the passage of the front, colder air will reach the peninsula, which will lead to a notable and general drop in temperatures, especially in the western half.

The decline could be extraordinary in areas of

Castilla y León

and

Extremadura

.

The Balearic Islands

will get rid of the cold front because it will see temperatures rise and it will not receive rain.

From Monday

On Monday of next week, the unstable environment will continue through rains and stormy showers that can affect a large part of the peninsula, with less probability in the southeast.

The showers could reach the Balearic Islands and will be more intense in the north of Aragon and Catalonia, although they are not ruled out in other parts of the northern third and surroundings of

the Central System

and

the Iberian System

.

That day the thermal decline will continue, especially in the center and the eastern interior of the peninsula, where the drop will be notable.

Instead, temperatures will rise somewhat on the shores of the Mediterranean.

On Tuesday the unstable environment will continue, especially in the extreme north of the peninsula, where heavy rainfall is expected, especially in the

Pyrenees

.

Temperatures will barely change, keeping the environment cool.

As of Wednesday, the weather is likely to stabilize again, with less rain and increasingly higher temperatures.

Finally, the

Canary Islands

will have a regime of trade winds in the coming days, which at times can be strong, and clouds in

Lanzarote

,

Fuerteventura

and the north of the more mountainous islands, where, in addition, some drizzle could appear.

Temperatures will remain unchanged.

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

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