display

After Annalena Baerbock and Armin Laschet were nominated as the top candidates of their parties for the upcoming federal election, the political mood in Germany has changed significantly.

The Union fell compared to the previous week in the RTL / ntv trend barometer by seven percentage points to 21 percent.

The Greens gained five percentage points and are now in first place with 28 percent, ahead of the CDU / CSU.

The SPD loses two percentage points and comes to 13 percent.

The FDP wins two, the Left and the other smaller parties each gain one percentage point.

Only with the AfD nothing changes.

If the Bundestag election were now, the parties could expect the following results: CDU / CSU 21 percent (

2017 Bundestag election 32.9 percent

), SPD 13 percent (

20.5

), FDP 12 percent (

10.7

), Greens 28 percent (

8 , 9

), Left 7 percent (

9.2

), AfD 11 percent (

12.6

).

Eight percent would choose one of the other parties (

5.2

).

display

A majority would only have coalitions with a Chancellor Baerbock.

Both a green-black (49 percent), as well as a traffic light coalition (53 percent) and green-red-red (48 percent) would be mathematically possible.

Only in a coalition with the SPD and FDP (46 percent) could the Union narrowly pass the Greens to the Chancellor.

The majority would have liked Söder as a candidate

54 percent of Germans think it is a good decision that Annalena Baerbock became candidate for Chancellor of the Greens.

23 percent would have found it better if Robert Habeck had become the top candidate.

Of the supporters of the Greens, 79 percent welcomed Baerbock's nomination.

Only 32 percent of those questioned rated it positive that the majority of the CDU federal executive board voted in favor of Armin Laschet as the Union's candidate for chancellor.

Markus Söder would have preferred 47 percent.

display

Of the Union supporters, a clear majority does not consider the decision in favor of Laschet to be a good one: 58 percent of the CDU supporters and 88 percent of the CSU supporters would have preferred Söder.

Only five percent of CSU supporters think it's good that Laschet is leading the Union in the election campaign.

Great skepticism among Union supporters

Most German citizens also rate the way in which Armin Laschet was chosen as candidate for chancellor of the Union as negative.

66 percent of those questioned would have found a procedure "in which the CSU would have been involved" better.

26 percent think it is right that the CDU executive committee alone decided on Armin Laschet's candidacy for chancellor.

Most supporters of the CDU (72 percent) and the CSU (88 percent) also see this procedure as critical.

The nomination of Armin Laschet as candidate for chancellor met with little approval in the survey

Source: Getty Images / Sean Gallup

Almost two thirds of German citizens (63 percent) are convinced that the Union's chances of voting have worsened as a result of Armin Laschet's nomination.

Only nine percent believe that the values ​​for the Union with Laschet will improve.

Supporters of the CDU (67 percent) and the CSU (90 percent) are also skeptical and fear that the prospects for the Union with Laschet at the top have deteriorated.

display

The majority of citizens (74 percent) also do not believe that the poor poll numbers for Laschet and the Union will improve significantly by election day in September.

17 percent of German citizens are more optimistic.

If the German citizens could elect their chancellor directly, Annalena Baerbock would get more than twice as many votes as Armin Laschet and Olaf Scholz put together immediately after being nominated as the top candidate of the Greens.

It would come to 32 percent, an increase of six percentage points compared to the previous week.

For Laschet and Scholz, 15 percent would each decide - that means a loss of 4 percentage points for the CDU chief and a minus of 2 percentage points for the SPD candidate for chancellor.

The data on party and chancellor preferences were collected by the market and opinion research institute Forsa on behalf of Mediengruppe RTL from April 13 to 20, 2021.

A total of 3,505 people were interviewed, of which 1,502 were interviewed on April 20th.