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Nuremberg (dpa) - According to a forecast by the Institute for Employment Research (IAB), unemployment will fall more in eastern Germany than in western Germany in 2021.
At 9.4 percent, the number of unemployed in the eastern German federal states is expected to decline more significantly than in western Germany with a minus of 2.4 percent, the IAB announced in Nuremberg on Wednesday.
A slight increase in employment is to be expected in all federal states.
According to the IAB regional forecast, the unemployment rate will also fall more sharply in the east (0.8 percentage points) than in the west (0.2 percentage points) over the course of the year.
According to this, the unemployment rate falls most in Saxony-Anhalt by 1.3 percentage points to 7 percent and in Saxony by 1.1 percentage points to 5.6 percent.
In Baden-Württemberg and Hamburg, however, it remains the same.
At just under 6 percent, however, the unemployment rate in the west is lower than in the east at 7.3 percent.
According to the forecast, the corona crisis is showing clear effects: Although the unemployment rate in 2021 will be lower than in the previous year, without the pandemic it would be 1.4 percentage points lower nationwide.
The consequences are particularly noticeable in Berlin with a corona-related rise in the unemployment rate of 2.9 percentage points, in Hamburg with 2.2 percentage points and in North Rhine-Westphalia with 1.8 percentage points.
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© dpa-infocom, dpa: 210407-99-112133 / 2
Regional labor market forecasts from the IAB