Gimbe Monitoring: "Contagion advances, intensive care under pressure in 11 Regions"

• Coronavirus: 22,409 new cases with 361,040 swabs and 332 deaths in 24 hours

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11 March 2021 The independent monitoring of the Gimbe Foundation detects in the week 3-9 March 2021, compared to the previous one, a further increase in new cases (145,659 vs 123,272) and, for the first time in 8 weeks, a rise in

(2,191 vs 1,940 ).

cases are growing

(478,883 vs 430,996), people in home isolation (453,734 vs 409,099), hospitalizations with symptoms (22,393 vs 19,570) and intensive care (2,756 vs 2,327).

In detail, compared to the previous week, the following changes were recorded: - Deaths: 2,191 (+ 12.9%) - Intensive therapy: +429 (+ 18.4%) - Hospitalized with symptoms: +2,823 (+14.4 %) - Home isolation: +44.635 (10.9%) - New cases: 145.659 (+ 18.2%) - Currently positive cases: +47.887 (+ 11.1%).

"For three consecutive weeks - says Nino Cartabellotta, President of the GIMBE Foundation - there has been a progressive increase in new cases with a reversal of the trend of all curves, which confirms the beginning of the third wave".

Compared to the previous week, in 15 regions the currently positive cases per 100,000 inhabitants increase and in 15 there is a percentage increase in new cases.

"On

- comments Renata Gili, Head of Research on Health Services of the Gimbe Foundation - the occupation of beds by Covid patients in 7 Regions exceeds the 40% threshold in the medical area, with a national average of 35%; even intensive care, whose national employment exceeds the alert threshold, reaching 31%, are

in 11 Regions ".

where the employment rate is ≥40% are

particularly

: Molise (67%), Umbria (57%), PA Trento (54%), Marche (44%), Lombardy (43%), Abruzzo (40%) , Emilia-Romagna (40%).

"In addition to the employment rate by COVID-19 patients - explains Marco Mosti, Operations Director of the Gimbe Foundation - the growing trend of new daily admissions to intensive care is worrying: in just 3 weeks the 7-day moving average has increased by 66%, going from 134 to 223 ".

As regards the supplies of

, of the doses scheduled for the first quarter of 2021, 7,207,990 doses were delivered to the Regions as of 10 March, less than half of those planned.

In the last 7 days, only 665,730 doses of Pfizer / BioNTech have been registered on the official platform, while there is no delivery for the Moderna and AstraZeneca vaccines, although notification delays cannot be excluded.

"According to official data - comments Cartabellotta - to meet contractual deadlines, an average of 2.8 million doses / week should be delivered by the end of the month, compared to an average of 680,000 doses / week delivered since the beginning of the year. ".

Taking into consideration the

, on 10 March (update at 6:01) 1,747,516 million people (2.9% of the population) completed the vaccination cycle with the second dose, with marked regional differences: from 4.46% of Valle D'Aosta to 2.27% of Abruzzo.

While on the one hand the number of administrations is progressively increasing, with 80.2% of the doses delivered administered to the population, considerable differences persist between the different types of vaccine: if for Pfizer, in fact, more than 90% of the vaccines were injected. doses available, this percentage drops for the AstraZeneca (52.2%) and Moderna (44.2%) vaccines.

Finally, compared to the protection of the most

, of the over 4.4 million over 80s, 1,098,047 (24.8%) received only the first dose of vaccine and only 231,058 (5.2%) completed the vaccination cycle. with significant regional differences, even if in the last two weeks there has been a clear change of gear.

"Three data are irrefutable in this phase of the pandemic - concludes Cartabellotta -. First of all, the trend reversal of the contagion curve documents the start of the third wave. Secondly, in more than half of the Regions hospitals and especially intensive care are already overload, even important, as demonstrated by the suspension of ordinary activities. Finally, all the Regions and Provinces where red zones have been implemented in recent weeks have stemmed the growth of infections, demonstrating the effectiveness of the restrictive measures in bending the contagion curve ".