Baden-Württemberg state election: Greens clearly ahead of the CDU 

display

Almost six weeks before the state elections in Baden-Württemberg on March 14th, the Greens and Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann have significantly increased their lead over the CDU according to a new survey.

If there were state elections this Sunday, the Greens could count on 34 percent of the vote, the CDU with top candidate Susanne Eisenmann only 27 percent.

This was the result of a survey by Infratest dimap on behalf of SWR and “Stuttgarter Zeitung”, which was published on Thursday.

Compared to the last survey in mid-December, the Greens have lost one percentage point, but the smaller coalition partner, the CDU, has even lost three percentage points.

The SPD can improve by one point at a low level and comes to eleven percent.

The AfD reaches ten percent (minus one).

The FDP can increase by two percentage points and is nine percent.

The left would clearly fail with three percent at the five percent hurdle.

One of the reasons for the coalition partners' losses could be that the dissatisfaction of Baden-Württemberg residents with the state government's corona management is growing.

Not even half (43 percent) were satisfied with it.

During the first lockdown in April, 73 percent of those surveyed had rated the crisis management positively, in December it was still 62 percent.

Kretschmann clearly ahead of challenger Eisenmann

display

Even if a clear majority of Baden-Württemberg residents gave the Green Minister-President Winfried Kretschmann a good report at 69 percent, his work was rated worse than in October (minus eight percentage points).

Education Minister and CDU top candidate Susanne Eisenmann has a much more difficult position: She only convinces 23 percent (minus one percentage point) with her work.

More than half (53 percent) are also less or not at all satisfied with the minister's performance.

Kretschmann remains the preferred candidate for the Prime Minister's office: barely changed in October, two thirds of those eligible to vote favor him (65 percent, minus one percentage point).

Only 16 percent (plus three percentage points) prefer the CDU politician to the incumbent.

Kretschmann has an even better starting position for the election campaign than five years ago: Barely a month and a half before the state elections, he has a greater gap to the challenger than in February 2016 to the then CDU top candidate Guido Wolf (63:21).

For the representative survey, a total of 1000 eligible voters in Baden-Württemberg were interviewed by telephone on February 1 and 2, 2021.