The Senate vote for the administration of President-elect Joe Biden of the United States will be held on the 5th.
Two Georgia seats are contested, and if the Democratic Party wins, both the House and Senate can take the lead, but if defeated, the Senate will be in a "twisted" state with the Republican majority in the Senate, and the next administration. It will also have a great impact on the policy of.
In the Senate election of the federal parliament in southern Georgia, the final vote was held on the 5th, and before this, President-elect Biden from the Democratic Party and President-elect Trump from the Republican Party entered the field, and candidates for each party It looks like a full-scale war that appeals for support for.
The parliamentary elections were held at the same time as the presidential election last November, and the Democratic Party of Japan became the majority in the House of Representatives, but the Senate voted in two seats in Georgia, so the power map has not been decided.
The average of the latest polls shows that the Democratic Party candidates are slightly higher, but the difference is around 1 point, which is a close battle.
The Senate has a fixed number of 100, with the Republican Party having 50 seats and the Democratic Party having 48 seats, and if the Democratic Party secures the remaining two seats, both parties will have the same number, and the Senate will be chaired by Vice President Harris. Because it also serves as a de facto majority, you can take the initiative.
On the other hand, if even one seat is defeated, the Republican Party will become the majority of the Senate, and at the same time as the inauguration of the next Biden administration, the ruling party and the majority of the Senate will be in a so-called "twist" state.
The federal parliament deliberates on bills and budgets, and the Senate, in particular, has the authority to approve personnel such as senior government officials, which has a major impact on the administration and policy decisions of the time.
For Mr. Biden, the cooperation of Congress is indispensable for the response to the new coronavirus, economic measures, and the realization of global warming countermeasures, which is the most important issue, and this election is of great interest to the United States as a fortune-telling. I'm collecting.
Composition of Senator Election Final Voting
The two federal Senate votes in Georgia are both Democratic newcomers challenging Republican incumbents.
In the Senate elections held last November, none of the candidates received a majority of votes, but in terms of total votes, Republicans outnumbered Democrats.
However, the average approval rating for the latest polls is slightly higher for Democratic candidates in both elections.
However, the difference is only around 1 point, which is a close battle.
Initially, the turnout of the final vote was expected to drop significantly compared to the main election, which was held at the same time as the presidential election and recorded a historically high turnout.
If the turnout goes down, the Republican Party, which has many supporters in the middle-aged and older age groups, was generally expected to have an advantage, but by the 4th, 3 million people have finished voting by early voting including postal voting. It is expected to have a high turnout, which is close to the main election in November.
Georgia, which has a lot of conservatives, has traditionally been considered the Republican ground, but in the presidential election, Mr. Biden beat President Trump by 0.2 points, and the Republican Party who wants to protect the ground and the presidential election The Democratic Party, which aims to bring back the results, is competing until the final stage.
The Importance of the Senate Majority
The Senate, which opened on the 3rd, has 50 seats for the Republican Party and 48 seats for the Democratic Party, including Democrats, out of a fixed number of 100 seats, and the majority will be decided by two final votes in Georgia. ..
If the Republican Party wins at least one of the two elections, the Senate will keep the Republican Party in the majority.
On the other hand, if the Democratic Party wins in each election, the Democratic Party and the Republican Party will line up with 50 seats, but if the vote is the same for and against, the next Vice President Harris, who chairs the Senate, will be the last vote. The Democratic Party becomes the de facto majority because it will throw.
The Senate, along with the House of Representatives, deliberates on bills and budgets that reflect the administration's policies.
If both the House and Senate have the same ruling party as the administration, the bill is easy to pass and the administration is relatively easy to manage, but if the opposition party becomes the majority in either house, it will be with the administration. So-called “twisting” can occur, making policy implementation difficult.
In addition, the government's political appointee posts, which are estimated to have a total of 1,200 people, and the personnel of federal judges need to be approved by the Senate.
For this reason, if the majority of the Senate becomes an opposition, the new Biden administration may face difficulties from the outset without approval for personnel affairs such as ministers.
Impact of past "twist"
It is not uncommon for successive US administrations to have different "twists" between the ruling party and the majority party in Congress.
Since President Reagan in the 1980s, all presidents have experienced it once during their term, facing situations where policies could not be realized, the administration got stuck, and conflicts between parties became fierce.
In the Obama administration, which was launched in 2009, the Democratic Party took the initiative in both the House of Representatives and the House of Representatives for the first two years, and realized the reform of the medical insurance system, so-called Obama Care, where there are disagreements between the parties. , Has passed important economic legislation.
However, after the Republican Party robbed the majority of the House of Representatives in the 2010 midterm elections and became twisted, it was not possible to obtain the cooperation of Congress as expected in the bill on gun regulation, and even in the budget related bill. We also faced a situation in which talks between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party were difficult and some federal agencies were closed.
Also, in the Trump administration, as a result of the Democratic Party becoming the majority of the House of Representatives in the 2018 midterm elections, the confrontation between the administration and the Democratic Party has intensified, such as the Trump president's denunciation trial.