This year’s over 20 cities "grabbing talents": settled in "no threshold", Guangzhou and Shanghai give "green light"
"With the consent of the landlord, renters can settle in Suzhou."
Recently, Suzhou has not only become a blockbuster city for entering the market to "grab people", it has also provided greater imagination space for relaxing the threshold for settlement.
Towards the end of the year, the "grabbing wars" in various cities have once again become fierce.
According to incomplete statistics from the Shell Finance and Economics reporter of the Beijing News, in December alone, five cities including Guangzhou, Wuxi, Qingdao, Fuzhou, and Suzhou issued settlement policies to attract talents by lowering the threshold.
In the whole year of this year, more than 20 cities have issued new policies for the introduction or settlement of various types of talents. Among them are first-tier cities like Shanghai, as well as “rising stars” such as Nanjing and Suzhou. Most of these cities have lowered the threshold for settlement and provided subsidies for employment and entrepreneurship. And so on.
Yan Yuejin, research director of the Think Tank Center of E-House Research Institute, told Shell Finance reporter that the deregulation of household registration in big cities has increased significantly this year, including Guangzhou, Nanjing, Suzhou and other cities where the threshold for settling down is obviously greater and the pace is also fast, especially in Guangzhou. It is not common to let go of multiple areas at once.
However, industry experts believe that when the threshold for talent settlement in multiple cities is relaxed at the same time, the role of the policy itself will be greatly weakened, and the trend of population flow will return to the fundamentals of the city, such as economic strength and industry. Cities with greater capacity for transformation and development potential are more attractive to the population.
When "grabbing people" was in progress: December 5 cities were loosened, Fuzhou settled in "zero threshold"
This week, Suzhou City in Jiangsu Province became the fifth city in the month that loosened the settlement policy.
According to the Suzhou New Policy for Settlement, “Implement a policy for permanent residents of rented houses to settle in public households in the community”, that is, buying a house is no longer a mandatory requirement for settlement, and those who rent a house and meet other conditions can also apply for settlement.
Another highlight of the New Deal is non-city mutual recognition. "Suzhou and Nanjing will realize mutual recognition of residence permit years and social insurance years when they settle in points." In other words, people who want to settle in Suzhou should have social insurance years in Nanjing before. , Can be accumulated with Suzhou's social insurance years.
In fact, Guangzhou, Wuxi, Qingdao, and Fuzhou have already issued new policies for settlement in December, which also greatly relaxed the threshold for settlement. Fuzhou even has a “0” threshold for settlement.
Taking Wuxi as an example, the "Regulations on Household Registration Access and Registration of Wuxi City" (hereinafter referred to as the "Regulations") will be officially issued and implemented on December 8, 2020. These regulations have completely eliminated colleges and vocational colleges graduates and returned from studying abroad. Restrictions on the settlement of personnel, skilled workers and other groups open the door for settlement of academic and skilled talents.
According to regulations, relevant personnel who have a legal and stable residence (including lease) in Wuxi or have a legal and stable employment and participate in social security can apply for settlement.
At the same time, the "Regulations" also abolished the housing area limit for the original house purchase and settlement, and the relevant period requirements for participating in urban social insurance and applying for (endorsing) Jiangsu Province Residence Permit.
Relevant persons who have ownership of a house in Wuxi, have a legal and stable employment and participate in urban social insurance can apply for settlement.
Although Guangzhou is "expensive" as a first-tier city, it has also begun to "grab people". Differentiated households have been opened in 7 administrative districts of Baiyun District, Huangpu District, Huadu District, Panyu District, Nansha District, Conghua District and Zengcheng District. Employment or entrepreneurship in these areas, and at the same time have a full-time undergraduate or bachelor's degree (document) from a domestic general university, or a full-time junior college degree from a domestic general university, or a full-time technical college preparatory technician class or senior engineering class graduation Personnel: Those who are 28 years of age and younger and must pay social insurance for 12 months in the area of the differentiated household registration can be settled.
According to the previous regulations in Guangzhou, the applicant must have a full-time bachelor's degree and a bachelor's degree in a domestic ordinary university, or a bachelor's degree from abroad.
In contrast, this time Guangzhou has lowered the minimum academic qualifications for settlement from undergraduate to junior college.
In contrast, Fuzhou will fully liberalize residence restrictions and achieve "zero threshold" for residence. There are no restrictions on education, age, employment and entrepreneurship. People from other provinces and cities can apply to settle in the city. Six counties (cities), People in Changle District can apply to settle in five districts.
In the whole year, more than 20 cities have issued various talents and settled in the New Deal.
A reporter from Shell Finance and Economics found that the "fire" of the "grabbing" war has not only spread in weak second-tier, third-tier and lower cities. First-tier cities such as Shanghai and Guangzhou, and strong second-tier cities except Suzhou and Nanjing have all lowered the threshold for settlement. Provide employment and entrepreneurship subsidies and other methods to attract more population inflows.
In Shanghai, following the liberalization of the Qingbei graduate settlement policy last year, in September this year, “put down their body” again to grab people.
The New Deal expands the policy of “using Peking University and Tsinghua University as pilot projects to explore the establishment of high-level domestic universities for undergraduate graduates who meet the basic application requirements and can directly settle down” policy to expand the scope to “build a world-class university” in Shanghai. This means that fresh graduates of Shanghai Jiaotong University, Fudan University and other schools can directly settle down if they meet the basic application requirements.
In addition, Nanjing issued the "Ten Measures to Support and Promote the Employment and Entrepreneurship of College Graduates in Nanjing." The current direct settlement policy of the city is mainly for talents with a graduate degree or above and a bachelor degree under the age of 40 to settle directly with a graduation certificate.
This time, Nanjing will relax the conditions for settlement again. Among them, undergraduate graduates will be relaxed from 40 to 45 years old, and returnees and part-time graduate students will be included.
The "green light" frequent population has now flowed in. Is it forceful to increase the property market?
Zhang Bo, Dean of 58 Anju Guest House Industry Research Institute, told Shell Finance and Economics that the core cities’ "grabbing for people" is speeding up. If the threshold for third-tier cities in the past "grabbing for people" policy is lower, this year, the policies of core second-tier cities will also Frequently intensified efforts, including Suzhou, Nanjing, Guangzhou and other cities that are attractive to the population, are also giving the "green light" and "grabbing people" is not sloppy at all.
From the data point of view, the implementation of the "grab people" policy will help population inflow to a certain extent, but whether the city itself is competitive is a more critical factor in attracting talent inflow.
Zhang Bo believes that at present, except for the two cities of Beijing and Shanghai, which are relatively weak, almost all other cities are in a "full firepower" formation. When the talent settlement policy in each city becomes almost thresholdless, the policy The role played by itself will be greatly weakened, and the trend of population mobility will return to the fundamentals of cities, that is, cities with greater economic strength, industrialization capabilities, and development potential will be more attractive to the population.
A report released by the Evergrande Research Institute in December showed that the four cities of Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, and Changsha had an average annual net inflow of over 200,000 in the past four years, and an average annual net outflow of over 100,000 in Beijing.
Specifically, the three cities of Shenzhen, Guangzhou and Hangzhou have attracted large-scale population inflows with active new economic industries and relatively loose talent policies. The average annual net inflows of permanent residents in the three cities in the past four years have reached 280,000, 280,000, and 270,000 respectively. , Compared with 2011-2015 have a substantial increase.
The research report also pointed out that the average annual net inflow of permanent residents in Changsha, Ningbo, Xi'an, Chengdu, Zhengzhou, and Chongqing in the past four years has been above 100,000. These cities are the core cities of the metropolitan area, and the urban development has been relatively rapid in recent years. , "Grab people" is more powerful.
It is worth mentioning that the market usually combines talent attraction and settlement policies with local property market “promotions”. For example, in the Guangzhou New Deal mentioned above, one of the requirements for differentiated household registration is to be 28 years old and below. Few netizens interpreted this as bringing in more buyers to the local real estate market.
Yan Yuejin told reporters that lowering the threshold for household entry can drive market demand and have a positive and positive effect on the market.
According to the Anjuke APP, the reporter found that the average listed price of second-hand houses in Shanghai in December was 52,528 yuan/square meter, up 3.11% year-on-year; in December, the average listed price of second-hand houses in Guangzhou was 33470 yuan/square meter, up 5.61% year-on-year.
According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the price increase in the real estate market of 70 large and medium-sized cities in November was generally stable, with a slight decline.
The sales price of second-hand housing in 4 first-tier cities increased by 0.5% month-on-month, the same rate as last month.
Among them, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen rose 0.5%, 0.3%, 0.8% and 0.6% respectively.
It is worth mentioning that since the second half of the year, the housing prices in Guangzhou and Shenzhen in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area have experienced remarkable growth.
In November, the growth rates of new and second-hand houses in Guangzhou ranked second and first in the country respectively.
But is the connection between the two really so close?
Zhang Bo believes that the impact of talent attraction and settlement policies on the property market is showing a trend of differentiation.
The impact of talents and settlement policies on the property market is mainly to achieve demand-side growth by stimulating population inflow. However, different cities, especially second-tier cities, also have huge differences in the attractiveness of the property market environment to the population.
Among them, cities like Changsha with stricter regulation and well-controlled housing prices but not weak economic growth will attract more talents to settle down.
Another category of cities with high second-hand housing prices, such as Xiamen, has a weaker advantage in attracting long-term populations to settle down.
At the same time, the first-tier cities are also divided. The high housing prices in Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen will accelerate the inflow of high-end talents, but will also affect the pace of entry of low- and middle-income talents to a certain extent.
Beijing News Shell Finance reporter Pan Yichun