Can Taiwan's self-made submarine stand against the PLA for decades? Expert: Foreign media has overblown

Can Taiwan's self-made submarine stand against the PLA for decades?

Expert: Foreign media's advocacy of Taiwan's submarine "superiority" is too much

　　[Global Times reporter Chen Shan] Taiwan relies on the United States to provide core technology, and the patchwork "domestic submarine" project has just started. CNN rushed to declare on the 20th that "Taiwan’s new submarine fleet will be able to prevent The invasion of Beijing lasted decades."

A mainland expert interviewed by the Global Times said that the report advocated the "advantage" of Taiwan's submarines. "The basic fact that CNN can hardly justify is that if the eight conventional submarines in Taiwan are so'good', then When the U.S. Navy responds to PLA submarines, why is it desperate to build an underwater fleet of nearly 70 all-nuclear-powered submarines?"

　　According to reports, Taiwan has officially started construction of a new type of conventionally powered submarine from the end of November, and is expected to be delivered in 2025.

"Submarine is still one of the world's leading'stealth weapons' and can deal a heavy blow to any potential hostile fleet." CNN quoted analysts claiming that Taiwan's self-built submarines use conventional power and use diesel engines on the water. It is powered by lithium batteries when navigating underwater.

"Compared to nuclear-powered submarines in the United States and China, conventional submarines are easier and cheaper for Taiwan to build, and the underwater noise is also lower than nuclear submarines."

"Taiwan's quiet submarine will make it difficult for the PLA's anti-submarine forces to detect, which means that the Taiwanese submarine can move quietly close to the seabed of the Taiwan Strait, and then rise again at the right time to accurately hit the mainland transport ship preparing to go to Taiwan."

Former U.S. Navy colonel and military analyst Schuster also claimed that any large warship hit by a torpedo, especially the MK-48 heavy torpedo provided by the United States to Taiwan, "the invasion force will lose at least one battalion of troops, so Unless it is determined that there are no submarines under the sea floor, no one will let the amphibious assault ship enter the Taiwan Strait."

Kurt, a submarine expert at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, said that the PLA's anti-submarine warfare capabilities are still weak. "Even for countries with advanced anti-submarine warfare capabilities such as the United States and Japan, it is quite difficult to detect underwater activities in the Taiwan Strait. ".

　　However, CNN also admits that even if Taiwan's homemade submarines are progressing smoothly, it may not be until 2030 before they are truly capable of combat.

The British think tank Royal Joint Services National Defense Research Institute researcher Koshal said that even if Taiwan’s self-made submarine plan encounters setbacks, the Taiwan military still has a variety of missiles, mines, micro-submarines and other weapons, which "can greatly affect the PLA’s journey across the Taiwan Strait. risk".

　　The mainland experts interviewed by the Global Times said that the construction of advanced submarines is very difficult. Taiwan has never built a modern submarine before. The main core technology is provided by the United States. They want to build qualified submarines with such a weak technical foundation and experience. It is extremely challenging in itself.

Moreover, compared with nuclear submarines, the key indicators of conventional submarines such as endurance, maximum speed, and dive depth are inherently insufficient. Therefore, the global navy is developing nuclear submarines for all capable ones. The U.S. Navy has long insisted on an all-nuclear powered submarine fleet. CNN advocates Taiwan submarines. The "advantage" of the company is too far.

The expert said that the People's Liberation Army has now created a three-dimensional anti-submarine network consisting of air anti-submarine aircraft, surface anti-submarine warships, and underwater submarines. Taiwan's submarines may not be used for much purpose in wartime.

　　Experts believe that CNN encourages Taiwan’s “domestic submarines” to seek excuses for the United States to interfere in the Taiwan Strait.

Heath, a researcher at the US think tank RAND Corporation, believes that the purpose of Taiwan’s construction of submarines is to "make it easier for US officials to escort Taiwan politically when Beijing invades, because Taiwan is doing everything it can to defend itself; if Taiwan cannot prove itself Improving defense capabilities will make it difficult for the United States to politically rationalize its intervention in conflicts across the Taiwan Strait."

Heath said, “In the conflict in the Taiwan Strait, the U.S. military must eventually intervene. If the U.S. military does not intervene, the PLA will probably still find a way to suppress most or all of Taiwan’s submarines.” Experts said that perhaps this is what the U.S. experts think. The real combat power of Taiwan military submarines.