Yes, what will Trump really do after January 20?

Since the election, he has so far decided to bring home troops from Iraq and Afghanistan, replace officials who opposed him and pardon his former security adviser Michael Flynn.

But when the time is up and Biden is sworn in, there are really only four paths Trump can take.

The first is probably the least likely;

that Donald Trump is completely withdrawing from political life, engaging in his business or golfing.

Very few believe in this resolution.

The only thing that possibly speaks for it are the ongoing investigations against Donald Trump and his various companies - something that may take a lot of time and which could turn Trump into a political pariah even among the more Trump-loyal Republicans.

An Trump party of its own?

The second option is for Trump to return to a well-known industry, the TV industry, either as the founder of Trump TV, which was the plan after what Trump thought would be an election loss to Hillary Clinton four years ago, or as a buyer of an existing conservative television company.

However, it is more likely that Trump will be recruited as a presenter or paid expert in one of the existing TV channels, then most likely Fox News, where the highest paid presenter Sean Hannity earns almost SEK 400 million annually.

The third option is for Donald Trump to start his own party.

What speaks for itself is that the president has a very large and loyal electorate that often chooses him as a person over the Republicans as a party.

When Donald Trump criticized Facebook and Twitter for censoring, his followers made a pilgrimage to the new social media Parler.

The problem with this theory is that it would probably mean that the Republicans would not get a president elected for the foreseeable future because a Trump party would divide the Republican voters into two smaller camps.

"I may have to leave the country"

The fourth and most likely alternative, however, is for Trump to remain within the Republicans and become a strong political force in the party as a kind of godfather.

Given the strong support for him, his position as an opinion leader on social media, and the fact that his supporters are like a party within the party, it is far from impossible for Trump to become a kind of Billy Graham, a leader among the Christian evangelicals.

That is, someone whose blessing can determine the prospects for future Republicans with hopes of becoming presidential candidates.

Please note that this is only qualified speculation.

The president has only said two things about his future in the event of an election loss.

Partly joking at a campaign rally in Georgia in October when Trump exclaimed "I may have to leave the country, I do not know."

Partly at a party in the White House the other day when he flirted with the idea of ​​being on the ballot papers in 2024 if he does not succeed in reversing the election result: "Otherwise we will see each other in four years!"

The only thing we actually know is that he is leaving power with a presidential pension of just under two million kronor a year.

This week's Foreign Office is about Trump's future and how he can continue to influence US policy in the future.

Watch here on SVT Play, or 21.45 on Wednesday on SVT2.