With two weeks left for the US presidential election on November 3, public opinion polls are coming out one after another that US President Donald Trump will be fighting a fierce chase in a major race.
President Trump is fighting a narrow confrontation within the margin of error, narrowing the gap with the Democratic Party's presidential candidate Joe Biden in the main competition that decides the opposition.
According to a poll conducted by Reuters and Ipsos on the 20th (local time) on the 13th to 19th, in Pennsylvania, Biden's approval rating was 4 percentage points ahead of President Trump (45%) with a 49% approval rating.
This was narrower than 7% a week ago.
According to the Washington Post and ABC Broadcast's survey on the 12th to 17th, North Carolina also found that 49% of Biden and 48% of President Trump were fighting with a margin of error of only 1 percentage point.
Both Pennsylvania and North Carolina are in competition states.
The trend of President Trump's chase and narrowing the gap is also seen in the analysis of Real Clear Politics (RCP), an election website.
As a result of collecting various opinion polls by RCP on the 6th to 19th, the approval rate of Biden's candidate was 51.1% nationwide, ahead of President Trump (42.5%) by 8.6 percentage points.
This is the result of narrowing the gap, which expanded to 10.3 percentage points on the 11th, after President Trump faced the bad news that it was confirmed as a new coronavirus infection earlier this month.
In the RCP analysis, the gap between the three states of the northern'Rust Belt' such as Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania and the three southern states of the'Sunbelt' such as North Carolina, Florida, and Arizona, is also narrowing the gap between six competitive states.
There are 101 electors out of 538 in these six states.
Considering that President Trump won 74 electoral votes during the 2016 presidential election, Biden could surpass 270, the ``magic number,'' necessary for the election if he brought 38 more.
According to the RCP, the lead width of candidate Biden in the six competition states is only 3.9 percentage points, which is half of the national gap.
This also increased to 5.0 percentage points on the 13th, and then gradually narrowed.
In particular, Pennsylvania, where Candidate Biden has shown a stable advantage of around 7%, is unusual.
Pennsylvania's gap in RCP analysis is now narrowing to 3.8 percentage points.
Also, in Florida, Biden's lead width was 4.5 percentage points earlier this month, but it is difficult to predict the game because it is only 1.0 percentage points, which is the current margin of error.
Florida and Pennsylvania are so important that they have 29 and 20 electors, respectively, accounting for about half of the six race states.
However, some analysts say that the gap between the two candidates has not narrowed as much as the RCP results, so it is difficult to conclude that it is President Trump's fierce pursuit.
According to the results of analysis by collecting various opinion polls by the election media '538', the lead width of Candidate Biden was 10.3 percentage points, which was larger than on the first day of this month (8.2 percentage points).
Pennsylvania also has a 6.4% advantage, which is a certain difference from RCP analysis.
CNN broadcasts an analysis of 10 states with fierce competition, including 6 competition states, and sees that 7 states are having a close battle.
In the case of three Rustbelt states, including Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, candidate Biden was analyzed to have a considerable advantage with majority support.
(yunhap news)