"Secretary of Ten Thousand Years" Yoshihide Suga succeeds Abe: Next stop, the 99th Prime Minister of Japan

　　China News Service, September 14 (Zhang Aolin) On the 14th, the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan held a presidential election. Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga won by an absolute advantage. Abe, who "successor" resigned due to illness.

If nothing else, on September 16, two days later, he will become the 99th Prime Minister of Japan.

　　Although Yoshihide Suga has long been the "steward" of Japan's longest-serving cabinet, the public is actually not familiar with him. He is even called Abe's "Secretary of Ten Thousand Years."

The most well-known picture of Yoshihide Suga may be that as Chief Cabinet Secretary, released the "Reiwa" reign in 2019, and he was therefore called "Uncle Reiwa".

　　Yoshihide Suga, who has always been low-key, has become the prime minister this time. How will it affect Japan's political situation?

Data map: In April 2019, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga announced the Japanese New Year title as "Reiwa".

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　　In Japan, if you want to be a politician, your background is especially important.

As an ordinary citizen, it is not easy to become a member of parliament, and it is even more difficult to become prime minister.

　　Since entering the 21st century, a total of 9 people in Japan have served as prime minister. Among them, only Naoto Kan can be called a real "civilian prime minister", and people such as Junichiro Koizumi, Taro Aso, and Shinzo Abe are all politically based. Family.

　　In contrast, Yoshihide Suga can be said to be "different."

Yoshihide Suga was born in a farm in Yukatsu Town, Akita Prefecture in 1948. He didn't want to stay in the country all his life. After graduating from high school, he went to Tokyo with friends.

He first went to work in a cardboard factory, then passed the entrance exam to Hosei University, and graduated from a work-study program.

　　In 1975, the 27-year-old Yoshihide Suga ushered in an important turning point in his life.

Introduced by seniors from the university, he became the secretary of Representative Ozaki Hikosaburo by chance, and has since stepped into politics.

After 11 years of working as a secretary, he was successfully elected as a Yokohama City Councillor in 1987, and then became a member of the Diet in 1996, making his national political debut.

This year, Yoshihide Suga was 47 years old.

　　In the nearly 20 years since joining the national government, although Yoshihide Suga is not considered a "flattering cloud", in the Japanese political arena that has been "occupied" by hereditary politicians, it can be said that he has broken through the "class barriers."

Data map: Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

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　　The acquaintance with Abe can be said to be the second major turning point in Yoshihide's life.

In 2001, Junichiro Koizumi was appointed Prime Minister of Japan. At that time, Abe was already the Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary, and Yoshihide Suga was only a second-time member of the Diet.

　　"When I first met (with Abe), I felt that I had never seen a politician of his type before." In 2016, Yoshihide Suga talked about his relationship with Abe in an interview with Japanese political reporter Kenya Matsuda. The first acquaintance experience.

　　Yoshihide Suga said that he and Abe built a solid foundation of trust because the two have similar political views on multiple issues.

　　Based on this, Abe promoted Yoshihide Suga to Minister of Internal Affairs and Communications shortly after his first worship in 2006.

Although the first Abe cabinet ended in less than a year, Suga continued to support Abe, and when Abe was hesitant to participate in the Democratic Party president due to health reasons in 2012, he persuaded Abe to come out again, and the latter succeeded. Achieve "Second Entry".

　　Talking about this experience, Suga Yoshihide only said, "Because I am very good at campaigning in the party president election." However, Abe seems to value Suga Yoshihide's "loyalty" very much. After he came to power again, he directly let him sit. In the position of chief cabinet officer.

Data map: Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga.

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　　In the Abe cabinet that has undergone as many as eight reorganizations, Yoshihide Suga has always been in a stable position and has become the chief cabinet officer with the longest term in Japanese history. How did he do it?

　　When asked in an interview in 2016 if he intended to become prime minister, Yoshihide Suga bluntly denied: "Nothing at all. Everyone has a different division of labor. As long as I can assist (Abe) the prime minister, it is enough. ."

　　In addition to being "loyal", being able to live in the center of power for many years has a lot to do with his dedicated work attitude. You can see the leopard from some details.

For many years, Yoshihide Suga has maintained the habit of walking for 40 minutes a day, and when he walks, he must wear a suit. He himself says this is because he can go to work anytime.

　　Some Japanese media analyzed that Yoshihide Suga's "green leaf spirit" and work attitude may be related to his farming background and his early hardship, which has also become the support of Abe's long-term governance.

　　However, the main reason why Yoshihide Suga has become the "standard equipment" of the Abe cabinet is that the two political philosophies are very similar.

This is also an advantage of Yoshihide Suga in this Liberal Democratic Party presidential election.

　　In Japan, where the "five years and six phases" appeared, the resignation of Abe, who has been in power for nearly eight years, marked the end of a period of relative stability.

And Yoshihide Suga made it clear that he would inherit the Abe policy, which to some extent eased concerns about uncertainty.

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　　Since the Liberal Democratic Party is the largest party in the Japanese parliament, if nothing happens, Yoshihide Suga will officially become the prime minister of Japan on September 16.

There are still many questions about his future in power.

　　——Question 1: Will it become "January Prime Minister"?

　　Due to the sudden resignation of Abe, and the other two candidates may be at odds with Abe’s current policies, or lost in public opinion, some Japanese media believe that Yoshihide Suga was promoted by Abe forces in the party as an “insurance card”. , Is a transitional figure.

　　Although the current term of the Liberal Democratic Party's president will last until September 2021, in theory, Yoshihide Suga's prime minister's career can last at least about a year.

However, the Japanese government has plans to dissolve the House of Representatives and hold a general election in October 2020, and Japan's two major opposition parties have merged recently. The head of the new party, Yukio Noo, is also eyeing the prime minister.

　　At present, the New Party is not firmly established, and the Liberal Democratic Party has a solid foundation.

However, the interests of various parties and factions are intertwined, behind the treacherous waves, and the situation is not static. It remains to be seen whether this "Suga regime" will become a "short-lived government" and whether Yoshihide Suga himself will become the "January Prime Minister".

　　——Question 2: Deeply familiar with internal affairs and personnel, doubtful about diplomatic ability

　　If Japan can be at the helm for a long time, what is its ability to govern?

　　For Suga Yoshihide, the post of Chief Cabinet Secretary, who has been in office for 2819 days, may have an important impact on his future direction of governance.

This position was originally known as the "master steward" of the cabinet, and in order to strengthen the government's personnel rights, he also created the Cabinet Personnel Bureau during his tenure, and was even called the "ghost of intelligence."

　　Knowing how to employ people is naturally a ruling advantage of Yoshihide Suga. At the same time, as Abe's "ten thousand years secretary", he has directly participated in many policies, and he also made it clear that "Abenomics" will continue. Some experts predict that, The direction of its internal affairs will not change much from the Abe period.

　　However, it is precisely the reason for the long-term internal posts that there is little achievement in diplomacy, which may become a shortcoming of Suga Yoshihide.

Whether he can achieve the gorgeous turn from behind the scenes to the front desk is still a big question mark.

　　——Question 3: The political stance is to the right, and the constitution will still be revised?

　　As we all know, Abe is a typical right-wing politician. Yoshihide Suga, who has been "supporting" for many years, has been deeply influenced by him and has become a faithful implementer of Abe's various right-leaning policies.

　　He not only visited the Yasukuni Shrine with Abe, but also stated that he would continue Abe's policy on the issue of constitutional amendment and "challenge with all his strength."

He stated that the four items of the party’s constitutional amendment plan compiled in 2018 should be taken as the premise, and that “discussions should be conducted beyond the framework of the ruling and opposition parties at the constitution review meeting.

　　Regarding Suga Yoshihide's right-handed political stance, the outside world is generally worried that once the specific policy guidelines are implemented, it may further push Japan into the "right turn fast lane."

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