Russia denounces an intervention by Ukrainians in Belarus while preparing its own

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Russia begins to find reasons to launch an armed intervention in Belarus.

Moscow claims it has verified information about the presence in the country of some 200 "extremists" trained in Ukraine to destabilize Belarus.

Meanwhile, the contacts between Moscow and Minsk occur in a frantic way to promote a joint action in the middle of the wave of protests and strikes.

"There is confirmed information that these activities are being promoted from Ukraine," said Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.

"There are camps in Ukraine prepared for the training of these extremists. According to our data, in the Volyn region, in the Dnipropetrovsk region."

Moscow has been preparing an intervention in Belarus for weeks, but has so far said that it is not seen as necessary at the moment as long as the opposition "does not step out of line", in the words of Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Today Lavrov has warned that he will categorically stop attempts to organize provocations around Belarus from abroad.

, the fall of the Ukrainian government in 2014 which it attended as an angry spectator.

"Those who try to provoke disturbances, provoke the infraction of the laws, fully understand that this type of national dialogue will leave them on the margins of history; that is why they try to make everything end with extremist provocations, they try to provoke the forces of order", Lavrov said after meeting with his Belarusian counterpart, Vladimir Makei.

The presence of US forces in Belarus, which has neither requested nor been invited to join NATO, would not be as credible as in Ukraine.

So Lukashenko has turned to the

.

"According to our estimates, some 200 extremists trained on Ukrainian territory are now in the Republic of Belarus," he added.

Until now the only foreign mercenaries known to be in Belarus were precisely Russians.

They were arrested near Minsk.

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko initially linked them to attempts to destabilize the situation in the country.

But after the elections, with the streets taken over by protests, Belarus sought Moscow's support and sent 32 of 33 Russian mercenaries from the private Wagner military company back on August 14.

It happened just after Ukrainian President Volodimir Zelensky requested the extradition of the alleged mercenaries, as these fighters had fought in the ranks of separatist militias in the Donbas during the Russian campaign in Ukraine in 2014.

That Russian interference in Ukraine in 2014 and 2015 was justified by the alleged threat of Ukrainian fascism, which, however, was later marginalized in the successive elections that the country organized.

Now Moscow has unearthed the fascist lure again.

According to the Russian Foreign Minister, there are Ukrainian groups of a nationalist nature such as Pravy Sektor (Right Sector), Trizub (Trident Stepan Bandera), S14 and the National Corps that are actively engaged in provocations in Minsk and other Belarusian cities, which are the scene of protests. since August 9 due to the results of the presidential elections that revalidated Lukashenko, in power since 1994. UN experts have denounced 450 cases of torture and 6 disappearances.

Putin has described the actions of the Belarusian police as "moderate".

Russian boots on Belarusian soil

Vladimir Putin explained last week that Lukashenko had asked him to form a "contingent of members of the security forces."

"I did, but we also agreed that it will not be used as long as the situation does not get out of control," Putin said in an interview with the Rossia-1 television channel last week.

Russia's intervention in Belarus would be

even than Ukraine's.

Russia has "obligations" to Belarus under the framework of multilateral agreements and treaties, such as the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), the armed wing of the post-Soviet space.

Putin himself recalled that these treaties oblige their member states to "help each other in defense of sovereignty, external borders and stability."

As for this kind of post-Soviet Warsaw Pact, Russia could intervene militarily in Belarus,

The presence of Ukrainian fighters is what Moscow needs to take the next step and end the protests that threaten Lukashenko's continuity in power.

A Russian intervention would require the support of the other members of the organization, Kazakhstan, Armenia, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan.

They are all

It seems that Moscow and Minsk are finalizing the details.

Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin is heading to the capital of Belarus tomorrow.

And Belarusian Defense Minister Viktor Khrenin will visit Moscow on September 4.

Lukashenko himself is expected in Moscow on September 10.

The Kremlin shortens deadlines, knowing that now is a good time to move forward with the

.

Lukashenko has always been reluctant, but Moscow now hopes that the Belarusian president - struggling at home - will be more open to climbing on the back of his 'older brother'

Although Russia prepares an armed contingent to intervene, it insists that it is the others who are meddling in the fight between Lukashenko and the opposition.

"We condemn the pressure that other countries are now trying to exert on the legitimate authorities of Belarus, which at the same time openly support the opposition dissatisfied with the election results," Lavrov said.

The Russian Chancellor said today that the authorities and the people of the country "are being imposed dubious ideas about mediation, including through the OSCE."

Lavrov also denounced "destructive" statements by the EU and NATO regarding the situation in Belarus.

Moscow has criticized these days the attitude of the Western powers, and has boasted of having maintained a more "moderate" and "neutral" behavior.

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• Belarus

• Ukraine

• Russia

• Vladimir Putin

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• Alexander Lukashenko

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