“According to WHO, the incidence of COVID-19 will continue in the fall. It is impossible to predict whether this will be a new wave or whether these will be only separate bursts. WHO also reported that it is now impossible to determine the features of the curve line that determines the upcoming incidence. The incidence will be, but it is not clear in what form it will be presented, ”he said in an interview with Rossiyskaya Gazeta.
He noted that “the quantitative characteristic of the epidemic depends on the immune layer of the population, on compliance with restrictive measures by the population, on the organization of quarantine measures, on the volume and effectiveness of testing.” According to him, it will also depend on weather conditions.
Previously, virologist Pavel Volchkov estimated the likelihood of a second wave of COVID-19 in Moscow.