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The management of the coronavirus pandemic has ended up underpinning the leadership of Alberto Núñez Feijóo in Galicia , according to data from the Sigma Dos survey for EL MUNDO . The PP candidate does not accuse any wear of 11 years of government and two managed crises and is aimed at achieving his fourth consecutive absolute majority, which would equal the historical leader Manuel Fraga , who did the same between 1989 and 2001.

The poll gives the popular leader 40 or 41 seats within a week of the elections, with 48.1% of the votes (he now has 41 deputies and 47.6% ). Feijóo is the most valued candidate - the only one who approves, in fact, with a 5.94 - and has managed to get 53.3% of voters to trust the Galician administration to properly manage the new normality after the pandemic.

With these data, only a big last-minute unforeseen event could change a result that all surveys predict. With the pandemic and its aftermath still very present, everything is possible, but for now the Xunta has reacted quickly to the outbreak of Lugo , the largest in Galicia , and has ordered the closure of the La Mariña region for five days, just the left of the electoral campaign.

Faced with the strength of the PP, the two forces that at the national level form the coalition government, the PSOE and United Podemos, have little hope of being able to take power from Feijóo through an alliance that would also include the BNG. The socialists hope to improve their results, but the progression they had has been stopped abruptly by the pandemic. Between March, when EL MUNDO published another survey on the autonomous communities, and now, the PSOE has dropped four and a half points, dropping from 24.1% to 19.6% . Now it would not even have second place in the elections, threatened by a BNG that reached 19.2% in the poll .

This fall in just four months can only be interpreted as a consequence of the coronavirus crisis, and if confirmed it would mean the first punishment at the polls to the PSOE and the first serious warning to Pedro Sánchez about the consequences of his management of the Covid-19.

At Unidas Podemos the situation is even worse. In 2016 he appeared under the umbrella of En Marea and managed to be second force with 14 deputies , but in this appointment that coalition has volatilized after an internal war legislature, it appears divided into two and is on the way to suffering a disaster. The survey only assigns to the candidacy of Galicia in Common 4 or 5 seats, with a loss of votes of no less than 11 points compared to 2016. Many thousands of votes lost for a Podemos that is immersed in permanent controversies and that now has than facing a major problem with the Dina case .

The votes lost by Podemos would go directly to the BNG nationalists. Plunged into a serious crisis a few years ago, when it was overwhelmed by the irruption of the Tides, the Block has been strengthened with the clear leadership of its candidate, Ana Pontón , who picked up the party on the brink of extinction and is now treading feet to the PSOE. According to the poll, it would more than double the 2016 result and consolidate itself as a third force, with options to be second and thus lead the opposition.

Outside the future Parliament Vox and Ciudadanos would remain. The PP of Feijóo monopolizes the votes of the entire center-right and would only leave Ciudadanos 1% and Vox 2% , percentages totally insufficient to achieve representation. In the general elections of November 2019, Vox managed to get 7.82% of the votes and Cs 4.35% , but it seems clear that when there are autonomous those votes go to Feijóo.

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

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