Emmanuel Macron. - Christian Hartmann / AP / SIPA

  • Emmanuel Macron promised the French, in mid-April, to "reinvent themselves" at the end of the coronavirus crisis.
  • In the aftermath of the second round of municipal elections, the head of state began to turn in favor of the environment, promising to inject "an additional 15 billion euros over two years" for the conversion of the economy.
  • To embody this turning point, will the president go so far as to change Prime Minister, while Edouard Philippe enjoys good popularity?

Barely elected Sunday evening in his stronghold of Le Havre, Edouard Philippe launched to the cameras: “The commentators will probably have a lot of work and I wish them good luck! A way of ironizing rumors about his future at Matignon. In mid-April, Emmanuel Macron promised the French to "reinvent themselves" at the end of the coronavirus crisis. To begin this "new phase" of the quinquennium, probably placed under the sign of ecology, the head of state should reshuffle his government in the coming days. But will the president go so far as to dispense with a popular Prime Minister in public opinion?

Edouard Philippe "knows a little state of grace"

“It is difficult to make a name when you have two first names. At the start of the quinquennium, Edouard Philippe amused himself as a stranger in the eyes of a good part of the French. Three years later, the head of government became the main pillar of the majority. “He is a very great Prime Minister, without doubt one of the best in years, salutes Erwan Balanant, MoDem MP for Finistère. It was solid during the storms, the "yellow vests" and now the Covid-19. He listens to parliamentarians and the French appreciate him. This is one of the data in the equation. "

Reinforced by his clear victory in Le Havre (58.83% of the vote), the Prime Minister enjoys great popularity in the polls, after several months of managing the health crisis. “He knows a little state of grace, as if he had just come to power. Its popularity has risen above 50%. For the French, it was he who was maneuvering during the crisis while the President of the Republic appeared more distant, ”remarks Frédéric Dabi, Deputy Director General of Ifop. “He holds the Macron building by securing the right-wing electorate, with an image favorable to 71% among LR sympathizers. "

Not green enough for the green turn?

Monday, the day after the second round of municipal elections marked by a green breakthrough in several large cities, the President of the Republic seems to have started its transformation. The Head of State undertook to retain almost all the proposals of the Citizen's Climate Convention. He thus promised to inject “an additional 15 billion euros over two years” for the ecological conversion of the economy. But can he make a real turn with the same faces?

“The measures of the Convention are very concrete responses. But there must also be a daily embodiment of this acceleration towards the ecological transition ”, notes LREM MP for Paris Sylvain Maillard. “The French appreciate Philippe, and me too. But the important thing is the dynamics. If Emmanuel Macron decides to part with it, it is because he believes that another will better embody this new course, ”added the group's spokesperson to the Assembly.

Erwan Balanant wonders: “We need to breathe new life, and five years with the same Prime Minister is rare, apart from François Fillon. Edouard Philippe has the capacities, of course, to make this ecological and social shift. But is he himself convinced of it? "

Does Edouard Philippe want to stay in Matignon?

The Prime Minister has blurred the message in recent days: "[The President of the Republic] knows who I am, what I embody, what I can do and what I cannot do," he said on 16 June in Paris Normandie. Or even at the 76actu site  , last week: "My greatest ambition is to become mayor as quickly as possible, that is to say as soon as the mission entrusted by the President of the Republic ends. It can come very quickly, and if it does, so much the better. This is the other piece of the equation: what relationship does the president have today with his Prime Minister?

"I think he's going out. Their relationships make me think that the president is more in the perspective of a change of head, "blows an executive of the majority. "He has requirements for the future government. But I do not think at all that he wants to pass the hand, I see on the contrary very focused on the future, the budget, the future elections ... ", replies François Patriat, boss of senators LREM. Edouard Philippe was right: everywhere, commentators are agitated. Even within his own majority.

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  • Municipal
  • ecology
  • Reshuffle
  • Emmanuel Macron
  • LREM
  • Government
  • Edouard Philippe