ANALYSIS
The second round of municipal elections in Toulouse promises to be very tight and the campaign fierce. A BVA- La Tribune -Europe 1 * poll revealed this Monday morning shows that the Greens / France rebellious union list would barely prevail against the mayor Les Républicains. But nothing has yet been decided, as stated at the microphone of Europe1 Edouard Lecerf, deputy managing director of BVA.
The union list of the left “Citizen Archipelago” led by Antoine Maurice would prevail very little against the outgoing mayor with “51% of the voting intentions against 49% for the list of Jean-Luc Moudenc", "Loving Toulouse ", explains Edouard Lecerf. But it is participation that risks being decisive in weighing the balance on one side or the other.
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A margin of progress on the mobilization of voters
"The challenge for the two candidates can be summed up in one word: mobilization. Participation in the first round was low, at 37%, and our survey shows that it is already progressing by around ten points. However, there is still more room for improvement in both cases, "said the deputy managing director of BVA. "Voters on the left can imagine winning a symbol, remaining united behind their candidate. And those on the right and LREM may want to save a mayor whom they consider to be the best equipped to defend the economic situation of the city."
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This is indeed the feeling of 45% of those polled (against 28% for Antoine Maurice), but the latter is favored on the other hand at 40% against 34% for Jean-Luc Moudenc concerning the ability to protect the city in the face of the crisis ecological and climate risk. Answer on June 28 during the second round of municipal elections.
* Study carried out by the BVA Institute on a sample questioned by telephone between June 5 and 11, 2020. Sample of 804 people registered on the electoral lists, coming from a representative sample of 1168 inhabitants of Toulouse aged 18 years and more. The representativeness of the sample was ensured by the quota method applied to the following variables: sex, age, profession of the interviewee, neighborhood