Analysis: "That's why Boris doesn't want to negotiate anymore"

When negotiations between the EU and the UK started again today it was remotely via video conference. Fisheries and trade policy in all honesty, but what was most talked about alongside the screens was something completely different - a date this summer, namely July 1st. Before this date, the parties must agree on an extension of the negotiations, unless there is a conclusion at the end of the year. But Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson says no.

A trade agreement normally takes several years to negotiate. Since time is scarce, with only a few months left until the turn of the year, a contractless Brexit seems to be a reality. But why is the British government so negative to an extension?

They themselves say that it is important to leave the EU now in order to escape the EU regulations. Among other things, those that impede direct state aid to companies during the corona crisis. But there are other reasons for Brexit advocates as well.

Right now, during the pandemic, there are problems with getting medicines and protective materials to the UK. The same thing may happen in the event of a contractless Brexit. Although then include other goods. If the country is ready to leave now, the logistical problems caused by a contractual exit will be less marked, some reason.

And what about support for other EU countries? Will the British be forced to help build the EU's economy after the pandemic if they stay and negotiate? The concerns are there. In addition, an agreement with the EU will still be ready at the last minute, why postpone everything for one or two years?

The question is whether Boris Johnson's resistance to an extension will be as tough in June. An opinion poll published in British media indicates that many disagree with their prime minister. Especially not the Scots.

In addition, experts point out that the financial consequences can be enormous. UN trade body UNCTAD says that a contractless Brexit could cost the UK at least SEK 154 billion a year in lost export revenue. The figure represents 7 per cent of the UK's total exports to the EU.

The EU and UK chief negotiators have not begun to compromise on matters yet. A timeframe that was judged from the outset as far too narrow now seems completely impossible. A contractless Brexit moves closer if London's politicians do not change. But so far, no signs of it are visible.