President Trump to announce guidelines after economic resumption Japan time 7:00 am to April 17 6:29
President Trump of the United States plans to announce a guideline for resuming economic activity restricted by the spread of the new coronavirus from 7:00 am on the 17th of Japan time. It is expected that the restrictions on going out will be gradually eased from the states where the situation is not serious, but the governor and others will be cautious, and it is unclear whether he will proceed according to President Trump's intentions.
President Trump has acknowledged that the new coronavirus is "data indicates that it has passed the peak of the spread of infection", and held a press conference from 7:00 am Japan time on the 17th of Japan time to promote domestic economic activities. Revealed the idea of announcing guidelines for resuming.
Regarding this guideline, the US media reports that the standards for gradually relaxing the restrictions on going out and resuming economic activity gradually will be provided from states where infection is not serious.
In the United States, in response to the announcement of a state of emergency on the 13th of last month, measures have been taken to restrict residents from going out in more than 40 states and the capital, Washington, and economic activities have stopped in a wide range. .
As a result, the entire economy is rapidly deteriorating with a large number of unemployed people, and President Trump seems to want to stop the economic deterioration by paving the way for economic activity to resume.
However, Governor of New York and other public health experts have been cautiously convinced that the rush to resume economic activity could spread the infection again, and it is unclear whether it will proceed as President Trump intended. is.
America's serious economic situation
The background of President Trump's focus on resuming early economic activity is the serious economic situation in the United States.
With most economic activity virtually halted, the US economy is likely to experience a sharp downturn in the second quarter of April to June, with economic growth at a negative annual rate during this period. There is also a shocking prediction of 30%. As a result of this, the economic growth rate of this year fell to 5.9% in the forecast of IMF = International Monetary Fund, which is much lower than that at the time of the Lehman shock called the unprecedented crisis, the lowest in 74 years since 1946. It is expected to reach the standard.
President Trump, who is refraining from the presidential election in the fall, is particularly nervous about the large number of unemployed people. The number of unemployment insurance claims filed by people who lost their jobs has soared over the past month, bringing the total to around 22 million.
In addition, the stock price, which was strong, fell sharply. The Dow average stock price on the New York stock market hit a new high in February, but then plummeted. At one point, the record of “raising the stock price,” which had been appealing for re-election, had virtually disappeared until President Trump took office.
President Trump's aim is to make up for this situation by resuming economic activity. However, even if it decides to resume, it is said that people will continue to refrain from going out and shops and companies will refrain from activities as long as there is concern about infection, and whether it can lead to a V-shaped economic recovery? It is opaque.
A series of cautious opinions from the governor
There are many opinions that the Governor should be cautiously responding to the early resumption of economic activities.
Of these, Governor Cuomo of New York State, who is in the most serious situation, said at a press conference on the 14th, that "resuming economic activity too early will have an unexpected effect," and peaking when it resumes too soon. It has shown the recognition that another epidemic may occur again. Then, at a press conference the next day, he said that vaccines would be developed one to one and a half years later, and said, "It will be a gradual restart until vaccines are developed." , Showed a policy of gradually relaxing restrictions on going out and resuming economic activities over time.
In addition, Governor Cuomo argued that President Trump had insisted that he had "all powers" regarding the resumption of economic activity, but he argued, "It is a wrong statement. There is no king in this country." The Constitution states that a lot of powers are in the states. "He acknowledged that the governor has important powers in making decisions.
Regarding the decision to reopen, Governor Cuomo said that public health and economic experts would consider the facts and data to be politically independent, and that economic activities and school restarts would not be judged separately, but rather as a whole. It shows a guideline for overlooking and advancing integrally.
In addition, Governor Cuomo has begun discussions with the Governor, saying that the resumption of economic activities should be aligned in the seven eastern states, including the six neighboring states. The seven eastern states are New York and its surroundings New Jersey, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, and Delaware, all of which are governors of the opposition and Democratic Party.
In addition, the Democratic Governor of the western California, Washington, and Oregon states that they will cooperate with each other and make a careful decision on relaxing or lifting restrictions on going out.
Among them, Governor Newtham of California states, "It is not something that switches on and off like a switch, but it should be carefully taken from a public health perspective," he said a different attitude from President Trump. I am.
Expert "may spread infection again"
A study group at the School of Public Health at Harvard University in the United States said that it takes a certain amount of time for many people to acquire sufficient immunity, so if a vaccine or therapeutic drug is not developed, loosening the response will increase the number of seriously ill patients. However, he pointed out that it may be necessary to intermittently take measures to reduce contact until next year.
In addition, according to a research report on the effect of going-out restrictions issued by Imperial College London, it is difficult to continue strict going-out restrictions over a long period of time. A strategy is shown to return society to its normal state.
Former director of the Center for Disease Control and Prevention, public health expert Dr. Tom Frieden said that once the peak of the infection had passed, the restrictions could be spread again if the restrictions were too early. "It is necessary to have a flexible response such as repeating restrictions and mitigation after establishing a system such as sufficient inspection, proper isolation of infected persons, and tracking of infection routes."