"Depending on what we see today, I would say between 100,000 and 200,000." Sunday on CNN, asked about the number of deaths potentially caused by the coronavirus, Doctor Anthony Fauci spoke of freezing figures. In addition to the deaths, he anticipated "millions of possible cases".
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Cautious, the director of the national institute of infectious diseases wanted to recall that the models were always based on different assumptions. "They give the worst and the best of scenarios. And generally the reality is somewhere in the middle," he said. "Among the illnesses I have worked on, I have never seen a worst-case model. They are always overestimated," he added.
The country with the most cases
According to Johns-Hopkins University, the count of which refers, nearly 125,000 covid-19 positive cases have been officially reported so far in the United States, a record worldwide. The number of deaths, estimated at 2,191, has almost doubled since Wednesday.
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University of Washington medical school predicts peak epidemic around mid-April in the US, with death toll stagnating around 80,000 as of June, following trajectory current. According to their model, this number evolves from 38,000 dead minimum and 162,000 maximum. In comparison, the flu killed 34,000 people in the country during the epidemic in 2018-2019.